Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Rachaad WhiteRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Buccaneers vs. Titans
Right now, Rachaad White’s rushing yards prop is set at 48.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 4.8% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
- The model projects Rachaad White to earn 15.7 rush attempts in this week’s game, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs.
- Rachaad White has been a much bigger part of his offense’s run game this year (57.3% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (33.7%).
- Rachaad White’s 48.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year signifies an impressive growth in his running proficiency over last year’s 30.0 rate.
- As it relates to the defensive ends’ role in defending against the run, Tennessee’s collection of DEs has been dreadful this year, ranking as the 5th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
Cons
- The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to call the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The 10th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Buccaneers this year (only 56.8 per game on average).
- The Tampa Bay offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL last year at executing run-blocking assingments.
- With an atrocious record of 3.43 adjusted yards per carry (16th percentile) this year, Rachaad White has been among the bottom running backs in football at the position.
- With a terrible rate of 2.30 yards after contact (8th percentile) this year, Rachaad White places among the worst running backs in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
66
Rushing Yards
66
Rushing Yards
