Week 10 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Jerome Ford from EV Insight

Jerome FordRushing Yards

Right now, Jerome Ford’s rushing yards prop is set at 39.5 yards (-141/+108).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 39.5 (+108) after it opened @ 41.5 (-112).

Pros

At the moment, the 7th-most run-centric team in the league (41.9% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Cleveland Browns.
The leading projections forecast the Browns to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 26.81 seconds per snap.
After taking on 1.9% of his team’s carries last year, Jerome Ford has been called on more in the run game this year, now accounting for 36.8%.
When talking about executing run-blocking assignments (and the influence it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Cleveland Browns ranks as the 10th-best in the league last year.
Jerome Ford has averaged 48.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest marks in the NFL when it comes to RBs (77th percentile).

Cons

This game’s line suggests a passing game script for the Browns, who are -6-point underdogs.
With a lousy rate of 3.57 adjusted yards per carry (22nd percentile) this year, Jerome Ford places among the weakest pure rushers in football at the position.
This year, the stout Baltimore Ravens run defense has given up a measly 88.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 7th-best in the league.
When it comes to the defensive tackles’ role in run defense, Baltimore’s collection of DTs has been excellent this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
44
Rushing Yards