NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Jerome FordRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Ravens vs. Browns
Right now, Jerome Ford’s rushing yards prop is set at 39.5 yards (-141/+108).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 39.5 (+108) after it opened @ 41.5 (-112).
Pros
- At the moment, the 7th-most run-centric team in the league (41.9% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Cleveland Browns.
- The leading projections forecast the Browns to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 26.81 seconds per snap.
- After taking on 1.9% of his team’s carries last year, Jerome Ford has been called on more in the run game this year, now accounting for 36.8%.
- When talking about executing run-blocking assignments (and the influence it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Cleveland Browns ranks as the 10th-best in the league last year.
- Jerome Ford has averaged 48.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest marks in the NFL when it comes to RBs (77th percentile).
Cons
- This game’s line suggests a passing game script for the Browns, who are -6-point underdogs.
- With a lousy rate of 3.57 adjusted yards per carry (22nd percentile) this year, Jerome Ford places among the weakest pure rushers in football at the position.
- This year, the stout Baltimore Ravens run defense has given up a measly 88.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 7th-best in the league.
- When it comes to the defensive tackles’ role in run defense, Baltimore’s collection of DTs has been excellent this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
44
Rushing Yards
44
Rushing Yards
