Week 10 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Bijan Robinson from EV Insight

Bijan RobinsonRushing Yards

Right now, Bijan Robinson’s rushing yards prop is set at 58.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 58.5 (-110) after it opened @ 56.5 (-114).

Pros

Our trusted projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 4th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 46.1% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Falcons are projected by the predictive model to call 66.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-most on the slate this week.
The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Atlanta Falcons this year (a whopping 62.0 per game on average).
Bijan Robinson has grinded out 50.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest marks in football when it comes to RBs (80th percentile).
This year, the shaky Cardinals run defense has been gouged for a massive 134.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 5th-worst in the league.

Cons

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
59
Rushing Yards