Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Terry McLaurinReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Eagles vs. Commanders
Right now, Terry McLaurin’s receiving yards prop is set at 51.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 51.5 (-110) after it opened @ 48.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Washington Commanders will be rolling out backup quarterback Taylor Heinicke in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
- The Commanders are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Washington Commanders have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.7 plays per game.
- Terry McLaurin has been among the top wide receivers in the game this year, averaging an impressive 64.0 yards per game while grading out in the 85th percentile.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the least pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 58.8% pass rate.
- Terry McLaurin has posted significantly fewer air yards this year (83.0 per game) than he did last year (103.0 per game).
- The Washington Commanders offensive line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
- The Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded the 7th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 134.0) versus WRs this year.
- The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has conceded the lowest Completion% in the NFL (57.8%) versus wide receivers this year (57.8%).
Projection
THE BLITZ
63
Receiving Yards
63
Receiving Yards
