Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Sam LaPorta from EV Insight

Sam LaPortaReceiving Yards

Right now, Sam LaPorta’s receiving yards prop is set at 51.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 51.5 (-120) after it opened @ 53.5 (-118).

Pros

The projections expect the Lions to call the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a massive 62.8 per game on average).
The Chargers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (41.0 per game) this year.
The leading projections forecast Sam LaPorta to earn 7.7 targets in this week’s game, on balance, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to TEs.
With a remarkable 53.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (95th percentile) this year, Sam LaPorta rates among the leading pass-game tight ends in the league.

Cons

The Lions rank as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 59.9% pass rate.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing TEs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.47 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-fewest in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
59
Receiving Yards