Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Sam LaPortaReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Chargers vs. Lions
Right now, Sam LaPorta’s receiving yards prop is set at 51.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 51.5 (-120) after it opened @ 53.5 (-118).
Pros
- The projections expect the Lions to call the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
- The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a massive 62.8 per game on average).
- The Chargers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (41.0 per game) this year.
- The leading projections forecast Sam LaPorta to earn 7.7 targets in this week’s game, on balance, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to TEs.
- With a remarkable 53.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (95th percentile) this year, Sam LaPorta rates among the leading pass-game tight ends in the league.
Cons
- The Lions rank as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 59.9% pass rate.
- The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing TEs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.47 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-fewest in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
59
Receiving Yards
59
Receiving Yards
