Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Romeo Doubs from EV Insight

Romeo DoubsReceiving Yards

Right now, Romeo Doubs’s receiving yards prop is set at 33.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 33.5 (-110) after it opened @ 34.5 (-114).

Pros

This week’s line suggests a passing game script for the Packers, who are -3-point underdogs.
The predictive model expects Romeo Doubs to total 6.8 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Romeo Doubs’s 20.6% Target% this season indicates a substantial growth in his passing game volume over last season’s 15.6% figure.
After accruing 48.0 air yards per game last season, Romeo Doubs has seen a big uptick this season, currently sitting at 77.0 per game.
This year, the feeble Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been torched for a monstrous 188.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the 5th-worst in the NFL.

Cons

Our trusted projections expect the Packers to be the 9th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 28.46 seconds per snap.
Romeo Doubs’s 60.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a significant reduction in his receiving ability over last year’s 66.2% figure.
With a poor 6.8 adjusted yards per target (23rd percentile) this year, Romeo Doubs places among the weakest wide receivers in the NFL in the league.
This year, the stout Pittsburgh Steelers defense has yielded a meager 61.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 7th-best rate in football.
When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Pittsburgh’s unit has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
45
Receiving Yards