NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Michael MayerReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Raiders vs. Jets
Right now, Michael Mayer’s receiving yards prop is set at 21.5 yards (-115/-115).
Pros
- The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
- Michael Mayer has played on 59.1% of his offense’s snaps this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile among tight ends.
- When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Raiders profiles as the best in the NFL this year.
- With a stellar 6.08 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (80th percentile) this year, Michael Mayer rates as one of the top pass-catching tight ends in football in the open field.
- The New York Jets pass defense has not been good when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, conceding an average of 7.51 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-most in the NFL.
Cons
- Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 56.0% of their plays: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
- Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Raiders are predicted by the projection model to run only 62.0 total plays in this game: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.
- The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 53.2 plays per game.
- Opposing offenses teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the New York Jets, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 33.5 per game) this year.
- This year, the formidable New York Jets defense has yielded a meager 65.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 5th-smallest rate in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
22
Receiving Yards
22
Receiving Yards
