NFL Week 9 FTN Staff Bets
FTN Staff
CeeDee LambReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Cowboys vs. Giants
Right now, CeeDee Lamb’s receiving yards prop is set at 77.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Dallas Cowboys have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 5.7% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
- The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
- In this contest, CeeDee Lamb is predicted by the projections to position himself in the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.4 targets.
- CeeDee Lamb has been an integral part of his team’s passing attack, posting a Target Share of 27.2% this year, which ranks him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
- CeeDee Lamb’s 104.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season indicates a noteable growth in his pass-catching prowess over last season’s 82.0 figure.
Cons
- The Cowboys are a heavy 17.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
- Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys as the 3rd-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 53.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- At the moment, the 9th-slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Cowboys.
- Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the New York Giants, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 32.6 per game) this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
96
Receiving Yards
96
Receiving Yards
