Prime-Time Props — Thursday Night Football, Week 1
Prop God
P.J. WalkerPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Panthers vs. Falcons
Right now, P.J. Walker’s passing yards prop is set at 175.5 yards (+115/-150).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 175.5 (-150) after it opened @ 182.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Carolina Panthers will be rolling with backup QB PJ Walker this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
- The Carolina Panthers O-line ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
- Phillip Walker’s passing precision has gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% rising from 53.0% to 56.8%.
- Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the most yards in football (310.0 per game) versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year.
Cons
- The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 3.2% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
- THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to run the 2nd-least total plays among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Carolina Panthers have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling a measly 52.4 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Phillip Walker to attempt 26.5 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 4th-least of all quarterbacks.
Projection
THE BLITZ
158
Passing Yards
158
Passing Yards
