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Week 10 Player Props: Passing Yards for John Wolford from EV Insight

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John Wolford

John WolfordPassing Yards

Player Props – Week 10

Rams vs. Cardinals

Right now, John Wolford’s passing yards prop is set at 196.5 yards (+104/-142).
The public has bet the OVER up to 196.5 (+104) after it opened @ 195.5 (+100).

Pros

  • The Los Angeles Rams will be starting backup QB John Wolford in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.0% pass rate.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 6th-most in football.
  • Opposing offenses have passed for the 8th-most yards in the league (261.0 per game) against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year.
Cons

  • The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 9th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • The Arizona Cardinals defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-quickest in football since the start of last season.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have used play action on a lowly 21.0% of their passing plays since the start of last season (5th-least in football), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.

Projection
THE BLITZ
240
Passing Yards

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