The best ownership projections create a massive advantage in NFL DFS. If you have ever thought to yourself “If I had known he would be so popular, I would have never played him,” or the opposite, you already know this to be true.
At FTN, we have exactly that — not just the industry’s most accurate ownership, but ownership that can help you make key decisions on specific players each and every week.
Week 10 presented the biggest challenge of the season in terms of projecting rostership, largely due to the health uncertainty of Ja’Marr Chase. How this uncertainty was handled by the field was dramatically different in various contest types, so we’ll take a look at polar opposite contests this week — the $3 20-max Play Action (396.3k entries) and the $200 Single Entry Double Spy (277 entries).
Week 10 NFL DFS Ownership Review
Keenan Allen, WR, Los Angeles Chargers
The entire industry had Chase projected as the most popular stud receiver for most of the week, until his status was (at least officially) uncertain as late as Saturday night. At that point, people began looking elsewhere. We were under the industry’s projection on Keenan Allen all week, but that became especially true when we gave some of Chase’s ownership to CeeDee Lamb and Amon-Ra St. Brown, but not Keenan Allen.
The result (from the $3 Play Action):
Once again, the key of all keys to a GPP takedown this week would have been much easier to land on if using FTN’s ownership projections.
Joe Mixon, RB, Cincinnati Bengals
Joe Mixon is interesting for a couple reasons. First, from the $200 SE: