NFL teams have made the schedule release a real event.
But the schedule release should be an event for fantasy, as well. Every year, we see schedule-influenced performances like Saquon Barkley’s nine carries for 14 yards in Week 15 (Saints), Brock Purdy’s four interceptions in Week 16 (Ravens) and Travis Etienne’s 118 yards and two touchdowns in Week 17 (Panthers) break or make fantasy playoff teams. But the bulk of the public schedule analysis is fixated on teams over players. I aimed to correct that with a model of schedule differences in projected half-PPR points. I explain the methodology below, but let’s start with the fun stuff.
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