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Mojo Player Spotlight: Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys

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Finally, you can turn your sports knowledge into real cash by investing in an athlete’s entire career. Prices rise and fall with every hit, huddle, and headline — and you can buy and sell instantly or hold for as long as you want. Three times a week, FTN will feature a player and his Mojo value — is it time to buy, sell, hold or short? Click here to get in on the Mojo action.

In sports betting, we know that unders hit more than overs. Despite that, we also know that people bet overs more often than unders? The reason? Overs are fun. It’s far more fun rooting for someone to explode and put up insane numbers than it is to root for a bad game or, heaven forbid, injury.

 

It’s the same on Mojo. Investing and “betting” on someone going supernova and returning value is fun. But it’s not all there is. Because on Mojo, you can “short” players. Shorting on Mojo isn’t quite the same as shorting in the stock market, but the general idea is the same – you’re betting on a stock to not return value. On Mojo, your play is that a player’s value will decline, and however much his value drops when you cash out is your profit. It’s a lower-ceiling play, because you can’t win more than your initial investment, but it can be a savvy play if you feel sure a player is going to drop in value. It’s not fun, but “fun” and “smart” don’t always overlap.

Enter: Dak Prescott.

Mojo Spotlight: Dak Prescott

Despite missing five games this year, Dak Prescott set a career-high with 15 interceptions, leading the league. He averaged more than 1.5 interceptions per game down the stretch, throwing 2-1-2-2-1-2-1 over the last seven games, even as the Cowboys went 5-2 down the stretch and battled for the No. 1 seed in the NFC playoffs Sunday. With the Cowboys still having at least a moderate chance for the top seed, Prescott had arguably his worst career game, completing only 37.8% of his passes for 128 yards and a 45.8 passer rating. As it turns out, the Cowboys couldn’t have gotten the 1 seed even with a win, but they lost 26-6 to an eliminated Washington Commanders team that was starting Sam Howell in his NFL debut.

Going Forward

As the NFC 5 seed, the Cowboys draw a road game against Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Wild Card Round. The quarterback always gets outsized credit for wins and blame for losses, and that’s doubly true when that quarterback is playing for the Dallas Cowboys. So for all the statistical travails surrounding Prescott down the stretch of the season, the real question is: Will the Cowboys win? They are 2.5-point favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook as of this writing, but my own model projects the Cowboys, with their recent struggles, to fall to the Buccaneers. 

Prescott’s Mojo stock price hovered between $69 and $70 most of the offseason, but when an injury cost him Weeks 2-6, it fell down to just below $63. It’s rebounded since and now sits at $67.70 after a tiny fall in Week 18. But if the quarterback of America’s Team continues a late-season slump into the Wild Card Round and a 12-5 Cowboys team loses to an 8-9 Buccaneers team, that price will fall, and it will fall a lot. 

<img src="https://d2y4ihze0bzr5g.cloudfront.net/source/2020/Dak_Prescott.jpg" alt="

Summary

Shorting on Dak Prescott isn’t going to result in huge, overwhelming returns. But it can yield a profit, especially if I’m right that the Buccaneers oust the Cowboys in the Wild Card Round. You can never go broke making a profit. Short Dak Prescott this week and claim your winnings.

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