Dak Prescott 2022 Prop Bets: Passing Yards, TD Predictions

Dak Prescott is under more pressure in the 2022 NFL season than most established starting quarterbacks. Following another disappointing playoff exit, the Dallas Cowboys’ star has projected passing yard and touchdown totals that are among the highest in the league.

The over/under for Prescott’s passing yards prop bet is 4,350.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Prescott’s 2022 prop bet for touchdowns has been set at 31.5 scores. Six players are projected to have more passing yards and touchdowns than Prescott.

In 16 games last season, Prescott threw for 4,449 yards and a career-high 37 touchdowns. Prescott’s 104.2 passer rating was his highest since he was a rookie in 2016. The offense was far more reliant on Prescott in 2021, arguably making it his most impressive campaign.

Prescott has flirted with being the NFL passing leader. Only Jameis Winston threw for more yards than Prescott in 2019, and Winston had 19 more interceptions in doing so. Prescott and Joe Burrow were the only players in 2021 to complete at least 68.5% of their passes for more than 4,200 yards.

Even though Prescott’s most prolific passing seasons have come within the last few years, he hasn’t been selected to the Pro Bowl since 2018. Whether Prescott is a top-10 quarterback seems to be a constant debate. 

Let’s take a look at the odds for Prescott’s passing totals in the 2022 NFL season and the best bet for each prop.

Dak Prescott Prop Bets for 2022

All odds per DraftKings Sportsbook.

How Many Passing Yards Will Dak Prescott Have In 2022?

Over 4,350.5 Yards (+100)

Of all the available passing yards props, Prescott is one of the best over bets you can make. Prescott had no trouble surpassing the 4,350-yard mark in 2019 and 2021. A 4,351-yard season requires an average of 256 yards over 17 games. In all three years under offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, Prescott has never averaged fewer than 278 passing yards per contest. 

In 2019, Prescott’s 4,902 passing yards were good for second in the NFL. Before a fractured ankle prematurely ended his 2020 campaign, the Cowboys’ quarterback was throwing for a record 371.2 yards per game. Prescott only needed 16 games to throw for 4,449 yards in 2021. Prescott has played 16 games in five of his six NFL seasons.

Letting Prescott air it out has been a successful formula for the Cowboys’ offense. Prescott had a career-high 596 pass attempts in both 2019 and 2021, and Dallas led the NFL in total yards in each season. Expect Prescott to be among the passing leaders in 2022 as the Cowboys look to repeat as NFC East champions.

How Many Touchdown Passes Will Dak Prescott Throw In 2022?

Under 31.5 Passing Touchdowns (-110)

Prescott’s 37 passing touchdowns in 2021 were a bit of an outlier. He threw for 12 touchdowns in the final three games, including a five-touchdown performance in Week 18 against the Philadelphia Eagles’ backups. In his first five seasons, Prescott had never thrown for more than 30 scores or averaged two touchdown passes per game. He’ll probably finish right around his 2022 prop total.

Losing Amari Cooper will show up the most in the red zone. Cooper was Prescott’s most-targeted receiver inside the 20-yard line last season, catching 13 of the 17 passes that were sent his way. Cooper also turned four of his six targets inside the 10-yard line into touchdowns. Michael Gallup might not be ready for Week 1, and he was Dallas’ second-most targeted receiver in the red-zone when he last played a full season in 2020.

Ezekiel Elliott averages close to 11 rushing touchdowns for every 17 games. Dallas will continue to feed Elliott goal-line carries and try to justify his massive contract. Only five running backs had more rushing attempts inside the five-yard line than Elliott in 2021. Tony Pollard will get scoring chances, as well.

How To Bet Dak Prescott Props

Player prop bets aren’t only available for individual games. Sportsbooks allow bettors to wager on player totals for the entire season.

Once you’ve set up an account with a sportsbook that operates in your state and you’ve deposited money, you’re ready to bet on player futures. In the player props section, quarterbacks are given a passing yards total, along with odds for both the over and the under.

Dak Prescott’s regular-season passing yards total, for example, is 4,350.5 yards. The under has -120 odds, while the over has +100 odds. When the odds have a minus sign, the number represents how much you would have to risk in order to make $100 for a winning bet. If there’s a plus sign next to the odds, the number represents how much you would profit for a winning $100 bet.

Let’s say you bet $100 on Prescott to throw over 4,350.5 yards. A winning bet at +100 would result in a profit of $100. In total, $200 should be added to your account, including a $100 profit and the $100 you originally wagered. A winning $100 bet on Prescott’s under for passing yards at -120 would come with a $83.33 profit

Check out the FTN Bets Parlay Calculator to see how much you’d win based on the odds and amount wagered.