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Best Ball Breakdown: Best Picks in Rounds 16-20

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The NFL season may be over, but the draft season has just begun, with predraft best ball tournaments already in full swing. Underdog Fantasy has launched The Big Board contest featuring $1 million in total prizes and $200k to first. The contest requires a $10 entry fee (150 max) and consists of 112,800 total entries. For those looking for a more budget-friendly option, there is also The Little Board which is just $3 per entry (2 max). The Little Board is a much smaller field, with only 3,552 entries, but it still has a prize pool of $50k and $10k to first.

 

Regardless of your contest selection, there is money to be won and edges to gain by hopping into lobbies early. In this article, I’m going to highlight my favorite targets in Rounds 16-20, based on current average draft position. (I’ve already covered the best picks in Rounds 1-5, Rounds 6-10 and Rounds 11-15.) You can stay up to date with the fluctuating ADP by using our free Underdog ADP Tool. First-time users can get a 100% deposit match up to $100 using the promo code “FTN.”

Round 16: Roschon Johnson (Rookie)

(ADP – 181.0, RB54)

Originally recruited as a four-star quarterback, Roschon Johnson switched to running back at Texas and spent most of his colligate career playing second fiddle to Bijan Robinson. It’s hard to knock Johnson for his limited production considering he was sharing the backfield with the RB1 in the class. However, it’s worth noting that Johnson was still talented enough to take Robinson off the field, logging over 105 touches in each of his last two seasons. Johnson began to gain steam at the senior bowl before breaking his hand at practice. He further elevated his stock at the combine, running a 1.52-second 10-yard split, which was tied for third-best at the position. Based on the momentum Johnson has received in recent weeks, it would not be shocking to see him go on Day 2 of the NFL Draft.

Round 17: Dalton Kincaid (Rookie)

(ADP – 196.4, TE24)

The 2023 TE class looks to be one of the deepest positions in the class, with multiple players projected to go in the first round. Kincaid is currently being drafted as the second rookie tight end on Underdog but is going three rounds after Michael Mayer. Early drafters seem to have a strong preference for Mayer, even though no player has a significant edge over the other. In fact, NFL analyst Daniel Jerimiah has Kincaid as the clear TE1 of the class, 11 spots higher than Mayer in his prospect rankings. I’ll happily take the discount on Kincaid, who led all tight ends in receptions last season (70) while finishing second at the position in receiving yards (890) and touchdowns (8).

Round 18: Rashee Rice (Rookie)

(ADP – 206.6, WR89)

Since committing to SMU as a three-star recruit, Rashee Rice has steadily improved every season before breaking out as a senior. He had the third most receiving yards in the nation in 2022, hauling in 96 passes for 1,335 yards and 10 touchdowns. Although he didn’t play in a P5 conference, there is no denying that Rice has the skill set to be an alpha at the next level. He showed the ability to command targets at an elite level, seeing 104 more passes than any other player on his team.

 

Round 19: Marvin Mims (Rookie)

(ADP – 217.0, WR85)

Marvin Mims made history in 2020 when he became the first-ever Oklahoma wide receiver to earn FWAA Freshman All-American honors. His 9 touchdowns were also the most by a first-year player in school history. Since then, Mims has been nothing short of spectacular leading the Sooners in receiving yards in each of his last two collegiate seasons. In 2022, Mims had his best season to date, catching 52 passes for 1,005 yards and six touchdowns. He proved to be one of the best deep threats in the nation, logging the second-most receptions of 50 or more yards (5). Mims further elevated his stock at the combine, running with a 4.38 40-yard dash, which was the fifth fastest at the position. His game-breaking speed makes him the ideal player to gamble on in the later rounds.

Round 20: Cedric Tillman (Rookie)

(ADP 233.0, WR96)

Cedric Tillman had a slow start to his career, catching just eight passes for 124 and two touchdowns in his first three seasons. However, with the departure of Joshua Palmer in 2021, Tillman broke out in his fourth season catching 64 passes for 1,081 yards and 12 touchdowns. He returned to Tennessee for a fifth year but was limited to just six games after spraining his ankle and eventually undergoing tightrope surgery. Although there are concerns about Tillman’s profile, it’s hard to overlook his production in his last healthy season, playing alongside Jalin Hyatt who is projected to go in the first round. I like to shoot for upside in the last round, which is why I’m targeting Tillman with my last pick.

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