One of the best-kept secrets in fantasy football drafts is that you can use site ADP to your advantage on your commissioner platform. Invariably, those who do not prepare in your leagues will lean heavily on the site ADP to make their selections. If you know where the value gaps lie in that site’s ADP, you can take advantage of the market and dominate your drafts.
You can and should use this approach on ever commissioner platform. It may seem like a small edge but take any advantage you can get on your opponents in fantasy football drafts. To show you an example, here are some of the best players to target at current ADP on Sleeper.
1. Derrick Henry, ADP 3.01 (RB10)
Sure, he’s up there in age, but Henry went to a perfect situation for his skillset in Baltimore. The Ravens plan to lean heavily on him, and Henry has essentially no competition for touches in the Baltimore backfield. He’s an anchor running back at a third-round price tag.
2. DJ Moore, ADP 3.12 (WR19)
Admittedly, this isn’t a massive discount on Moore, but you get him about a half-round earlier than where I have him in my fantasy football rankings. The Bears have more mouths to feed and will have a rookie under center this year, but Moore remains their top target. He’s also coming off a career year despite having to endure lackluster quarterback play in 2023.
3. Rachaad White, ADP 4.03 (RB13)
For some reason, fantasy drafters continue to endorse De’Von Achane well ahead of White in 2024. Achane is explosive, no doubt. But he’s also a committee back who will cede goal line work to Raheem Mostert. Meanwhile, White can be had a round-and-a-half later. Sure, the Bucs aren’t as explosive as the Dolphins, but White was second in the league last season with 336 touches and figures to see another massive workload.
4. DK Metcalf, ADP 4.05 (WR22)
Annually undervalued in fantasy circles, Metcalf is the one of the most heavily used red zone targets in the league. Over the last three seasons, he’s averaged a massive 1.1 end zone targets per game. The Seahawks new offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb’s offense was prolific at Washington last year, and Metcalf will get to play the Rome Odunze role this season.
5. Amari Cooper, ADP 5.09 (WR29)
There are three constants in life: death, taxes and Amari Cooper being undervalued in fantasy football drafts. He’s coming off a very efficient season where he flashed major big-play upside with eight catches of 40-plus yards. Only Tyreek Hill had more (9). And yes, questions linger about Deshaun Watson’s play, but those questions aren’t enough to ignore the discount we’re getting on Cooper.
6. Rhamondre Stevenson, ADP 7.01 (RB22)
On paper, the Patriots look like one of the worst teams in the league. But that doesn’t affect the bottom line for Stevenson’s fantasy value. A capable three-down back, Stevenson averages a healthy 16.3 touches per game over the last two seasons. Yes, the Patriots brought in Antonio Gibson, but he only figures to be involved on passing downs. Stevenson is a rock-solid Hero RB target.
7. Calvin Ridley, ADP 7.09 (WR39)
Twitter trolls will remember that I was 100% against drafting Ridley last season. What changed? His ADP dropped significantly. Last year, the fantasy hype machine pushed Ridley’s ADP up into the front end of the WR2s. Simply put, he was overvalued. This year, the opposite is true. His ability to get downfield bodes well for Will Levis’ skillset. While I doubt he’s a top-15 option this year, he does offer a nice discount at this price point.
8. Rashee Rice, ADP 7.10 (RB40)
Seriously, Jeff? Don’t you know about the eight felony counts he’s facing? Yes, I do. I also know that Roger Goodell told the media back in April that the league would wait for the legal process to conclude before issuing any suspension. The wheels of justice turn slowly, and we aren’t likely to get to the end of Rice’s legal proceedings until 2025. Translation: there’s a very good chance Rice isn’t suspended this year. If he plays the whole season, this is a significant discount at this ADP.
9. Raheem Mostert, ADP 7.12 (RB26)
He’s no spring chicken at 32 years old, but Mostert is coming off a massive 21-touchdown season in Mike McDaniel’s offense. He was also singled out by the Dolphins’ head coach as the leader of the backfield over the offseason. His big-play upside doesn’t rival De’Von Achane’s, but Mostert is significantly cheaper and offers plenty of touchdown upside.
10. Diontae Johnson, ADP 8.07 (WR42)
The bar is low for Johnson in the Carolina offense, but he figures to be the immediate No. 1 receiver for the Panthers. And that didn’t come from me. It came from new Panthers’ head coach Dave Canales. If Bryce Young is able to improve under Canales, Johnson will provide a healthy return on investment at this ADP.
11. DeAndre Hopkins, ADP 8.10 (WR43)
Like Calvin Ridley, Hopkins is being widely undervalued by the fantasy football drafting public. He proved to be able to hold his own downfield for Will Levis last season, with a massive 14.2 air yards per target last season. Hopkins may not be consistent from week to week, but he offers an appealing ceiling in what figures to be an improved Titans offense.
12. Jameson Williams, ADP 10.01 (WR48)
This one surprised me. Normally, a player like Williams tends to be overdrafted. But he’s a sneaky value at this price point. He hasn’t done much so far in his career, but opportunity knocks in Year 3 for the Lions speedster. Let’s be clear. He’s going to be third fiddle at best in the target pecking order behind Amon-Ra St. Brown and Sam LaPorta. But Williams’ huge big-play upside makes him an ideal target in this range of drafts.
13. Courtland Sutton, ADP 10.07 (WR49)
Not much has changed for Sutton’s ADP from last year. He was drafted in this range and ended up putting double-digit touchdowns on the board. Of course, the Broncos will likely be starting rookie Bo Nix at quarterback. But Nix enters the NFL with 61 college starts under his belt and is more than capable of getting the football to Sutton.
14. Romeo Doubs, ADP 10.11 (WR50)
He’s the third Packers wide receiver off the board in ADP, but there really isn’t much that separates Doubs from Jayden Reed (WR34, ADP 6.10) and Christian Watson (WR46, ADP 9.05). The Packers have also acknowledged they don’t have a true No. 1 receiver. In instances like these, the guy going latest in drafts often offers the best value.
15. Chase Brown, ADP 11.03 (RB40)
Sure, he may be “running with the ones” early in training camp, but that’s not why Brown is a value in this range. Ultimately, he figures to play a complementary role to Zack Moss in the Cincinnati backfield with Moss serving as the primary early down back and Brown getting third-down work. However, the gap between the two isn’t as sizeable as their three-round ADP spread suggests. Brown showed explosive ability down the stretch last season and is primed for a bigger role in 2024.
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