Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
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As either myself or Zac Graham will continue to do all throughout the NBA season, I will provide you with my three favorite options on SuperDraft DFS for the slate at hand. In this case, we have a nine-game slate Friday.
Chris Paul, Phoenix Suns (vs. BOS)
Score multiplier: 1.25x
Chris Paul has been a steady source of production on a nightly basis this season but has the opportunity to see an even larger bump in peripheral production Friday. With Devin Booker already ruled out, it was reported Friday afternoon that Deandre Ayton was downgraded to questionable with an illness.
There isn’t a massive sample size with both players off the floor, but in that scenario, Paul has posted over 1.3 SuperDraft points per minute with an assist rate north of 50%. In a tight matchup against a mediocre Celtics team, Paul is viable with or without Ayton in the lineup. He would, however, see a nice boost if Ayton ends up sitting.
Kelly Oubre, Charlotte Hornets (vs. SAC)
Score multiplier: 1.35x
Not only are LaMelo Ball, Terry Rozier, Mason Plumlee and Jalen McDaniels still sidelined for the Hornets, but P.J. Washington is also doubtful for their game against the Kings. The sheer lack of bodies makes anyone on this roster in play, but Kelly Oubre has grabbed a stranglehold of the opportunity. As noted in my First Look article:
“Over his last three games, Kelly Oubre is averaging 28.3 points, 6.0 rebounds, 2.7 assists and 2.3 steals in 41.1 minutes per game.
“With a chunk of the Hornets’ roster on the COVID-19 list, Oubre has stepped up as the go-to offensive weapon and he hasn’t disappointed. His $7,800 price tag may instill some sticker shock, but his volume backs it up, as he’s averaged 21.0 shots per game over this stretch. In an up-tempo matchup with the Kings, Oubre should be in for another heavy dose of volume.”
Getting him at a better multiplier than both Gordon Hayward as well as Miles Bridges makes Oubre my priority play on the Hornets on Friday.
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Clint Capela, Atlanta Hawks (vs. BKN)
Score multiplier: 1.3x
Targeting big men against the Nets has been a profitable strategy for the last year and a half, and we’re going to continue to do so on this slate. Clint Capela has been an extremely productive player in the right matchups this season, having scored at least 40 raw SuperDraft points in five of his last eight games. He played the Nets once in November, posting a 13-point, 16-rebound double-double and that should be viewed as a reasonable outcome, if not a baseline expectation Friday.
With a 1.3x bonus, Capela’s legitimate 20-20 upside gives him some of the most appealing upside on the slate with a multiplier factored in. He also isn’t generating much buzz around the industry, allowing you to potentially roster a contrarian piece.
