NBA DFS Preview - First Look (3/27)

Every morning on FTNDaily, we will have a comprehensive first look article for that day’s NBA DFS slate. This will be your go-to destination for NBA game environments, fantasy-relevant situations to monitor, a quick look at the top-priced players across the industry and some stats to get you started with the slate.

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Sunday presents us with six games and an early lock that tips off at 6:00 p.m. ET.

Consensus Vegas odds are derived from FTNBets Vegas Odds Board.

NBA Vegas Data for March 27 | NBA DFS First Look

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Boston Celtics

BOS -6, total: 229.5
Pace: MIN (1st), BOST (24th)

Situations to monitor:

Al Horford has been ruled out for the Celtics, while both Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown are listed as probable.
Jaden McDaniels and Malik Beasley have been ruled out for the Timberwolves.

Golden State Warriors @ Washington Wizards

GSW -7, total: 217.0
Pace: GSW (16th), WAS (22nd)

Situations to monitor:

Stephen Curry and James Wiseman have been ruled out for the Warriors.
Kyle Kuzma remains out for the Wizards, while Daniel Gafford has been listed as probable.

Philadelphia 76ers @ Phoenix Suns

PHO -3.5, total: 228.5
Pace: PHI (26th), PHO (9th)

Situations to monitor:

Cameron Johnson and JaVale McGee have been ruled out for the Suns.

Los Angeles Lakers @ New Orleans Pelicans

NOP -3, total: 230.5
Pace: LAL (6th), NOP (21st)

Situations to monitor:

Anthony Davis remains out for the Lakers, while Talen Horton-Tucker is listed as questionable and Dwight Howard and LeBron James are listed as questionable.
Brandon Ingram is listed as questionable for the Pelicans, while Zion Williamson remains out.

Charlotte Hornets @ Brooklyn Nets

BKN -5.5, total: 238.5
Pace: CHA (5th), BKN (12th)

Situations to monitor:

Ben Simmons, LaMarcus Aldridge and Joe Harris remain out for the Nets.
Gordon Hayward remains out for the Hornets.

Utah Jazz @ Dallas Mavericks

UTA -1, total: 214.5
Pace: UTA (23rd), DAL (30th)

Situations to monitor:

Bogdan Bogdanovic, Danuel House and Udoka Azubuike remain out for the Jazz, while Hassan Whiteside is listed as questionable.
Tim Hardaway remains out for the Mavericks.

Matchup to Target | NBA DFS First Look

Below are two matchups that I intend to target as core plays on Sunday.

Jordan Poole vs. Washington Wizards

After another 22-shot performance last game against the Hawks, Jordan Poole has maintained his alpha status in the absence of Stephen Curry. In nine games without Curry this season, Poole has averaged nearly 41 DraftKings points per game on the back of a 29.52% usage rate, 26.0 points and 5.56 assists per game. He’s averaged over 36 minutes per game in these games and now gets a matchup against a Wizards team that ranks 28th against primary ball-handlers. His price has dropped $200 since last slate, and he makes for arguably the strongest mid-tier option on the entire slate.

Robert Williams vs. Minnesota Timberwolves

In nine games without Al Horford this season, Robert Williams has averaged a double-double (12.11 points and 11.11 rebounds per game) while seeing over a 10% uptick in playing time, averaging more than 34 minutes per game. He’s averaged over a fantasy point per minute (37.91 DK points per 36 minutes) in this scenario while leading the team with a 16.8% rebounding rate and a respectable 11.3% assist rate for a big man. This is a massive pace-up spot against an exploitable frontcourt and a team that offers a ton of upside in terms of peripheral and stack production. Given the uptick in production, minutes and the enticing game environment, Williams is my big man of choice on Sunday.

NBA Value Plays | NBA DFS First Look

For the top value plays on the slate, check out the Cheat Sheets for our analysts’ exposures and the NBA Optimizer for the best point-per-dollar plays.