Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
The NBA has a smaller six-game slate Tuesday, but we do have some interesting matchups. The NBA season is rapidly coming to a close, with most teams having about 10-12 games remaining. Those with playoff hopes need to win. Those already in are jockeying for what seed they will be. Some of the teams that are out are already adjusting rotations to give some young players minutes and sitting some of the guys who are a little banged up.
Our FTN Betting model has a few edges here, but we are going to concentrate on the Player Prop side of the betting market here. Not all the props are listed for every game, but here are my three favorite bets of the ones that are.
Best NBA Points Prop Bet
Nic Claxton Over 11.5 Points
This number is still at 11.5 for some reason. Nic Claxton averages 29 minutes and over 12 points per game on the year. Over the last six games he has seen the minutes average bump up to 32. He’s cleared 11 points in five of those six games and finished with exactly 11 in the other one. He’s averaging just shy of 17 points in the last six games. Sure, this is a tough matchup, but Claxton has been playing more, scoring more, and clearing this number consistently for us.
Best NBA Double-Double Prop Bet
Ivica Zubac to Get a Double-Double
Ivica Zubac has been playing really well lately. He’s topped 11.5 points in each of the last three games and six of the last eight. We project this game to go over in our FTN betting model. OKC is a young, talented team, but they lack size on the interior to battle with a guy like Zubac. The Clippers have not played the Thunder since early in the year, when Zubac had back-to-back double-doubles on the road, averaging over 30 minutes and 16 rebounds in those games. Zubac is unlikely to have massive 20-point scoring upside, but he should be able to top double-digits and flirt with another double-double. He’s racked up 19/16, 16/16 and 14/10 in his last three games.
