Prime-Time Props — Thursday Night Football, Week 1
Prop God
Wednesday is a big night in the NBA with 13 games on the docket. Injury news is pouring in with shoot arounds taking place all over the country in preparation. We are still waiting on news to key players for some games, but enough of the prop bets have already dropped that we are able to find a few best bets to get started with. Make sure to check out the FTNBets NBA player prop model for more as they become available. For now, here are three of my best bets in the totals, points and rebounding prop markets for Wednesday.
Best NBA Total Bet
Indiana Pacers vs. Sacramento Kings Over 241.5
(-110, DraftKings Sportsbook)
Yes, this is a massive total, but it’s as high as 243 on some other books. Sacramento is the epitome of an over team. They score the fifth-most points per 100 possessions and give up the sixth most. Indiana plays at the third fastest pace in the league and Sacramento is not far behind in seventh. When you add all of these point positive factors together, it is easy to see why the total in this game is so high.
Best NBA Points Prop Bet
Paolo Banchero Over 20.5 Points
(-110, DraftKings Sportsbook)
Paolo Banchero started off the season on fire before an injury forced him to sit out a few games. He came back last week with a pair of games against the 76ers that ended up lower scoring than most other contests and he finished just shy of 20 points per night in low 30s minutes of playing time. Last game he bounced back to 39 minutes, more in line with where he was before the injury and not surprisingly scored over 20 points as well. Paolo seems to be healthy now, which is what we were waiting for. He’s averaging just shy of 23 per night on the season and projects slightly over that Wednesday.
Best NBA Rebound Prop Bet
Royce O’Neale Over 5.5 Rebounds
(-105, DraftKings Sportsbook)
Royce O’Neale grabbed 10 boards last game and is in line to do it again here. Ben Simmons left the last game early and is already ruled out for Wednesday. With no Simmons, O’Neale and Nic Clayton handled the dirty work and saw bumps in boards and playing time.
