Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
The NBA has a strange schedule Thursday. We have a 3:30 p.m. ET game between the Chicago Bulls and Pistons. I did find one best bet from that game, so make sure you place that one early. We may have some more edges in our FTN NBA Player Prop tool once all the numbers are released. For now, here are the three best bets I like for the day.
Best NBA Rebound Prop Bet
Nikola Vucevic Over 11.5 Rebounds
This Nikola Vucevic rebound number is already up to 12.5 on some books at standard -110 juice. To get that at 11.5 for just -120 is pretty good and the best price on the 11.5 at any sports book. Vucevic has a god matchup against a poor-shooting Pistons team. He also has been a rebound machine with 9 straight games of double-digit rebounds. Seven of those nine were 13 or more, so this is another one of the upside spots for Vucevic.
Best NBA Points Prop Bet
Mikal Bridges Over 16.5 Points
Is Devin Booker still out? Yes. That means we can keep firing up the over on Mikal Bridges. Bridges averages 12 shots per game and 15.8 points, but he’s cored at least 20 in three of the last four games. In those last four games he’s averaging around 15 field goal attempts, so the increase in shots leading to the increase in points is something we can hang our hats on.
Best NBA Assists Prop Bet
Jordan Poole Over 2.5 Assists
(-165, DraftKings Sportsbooks)
This number felt super low for Jordan Poole. He averages 4.4 assists on the year and has not had fewer than 3 in any of the last eight games. It makes sense that it is juiced up, but based on calculations it’s still undervalued even at -165, so I’m playing the edge.
