Prime-Time Props — Thursday Night Football, Week 1
Prop God
Every Monday, I try to turn the daily MLB slate writeup into more of an evergreen, DFS strategy/theory piece to which you can return at any time and still find value. Today’s topic is about sacrificing projection points to be different, how the GPP Scores naturally handle this concept, and how slate context should change our approach.
Shazzam’s question in Discord that inspired this article was about lineups as a whole — how much worse can a lineup project than the chalky optimals and still be worth playing? I’m going to answer by first addressing the question at an individual player level, then closing at the overall lineup level.
In short, I am comfortable sacrificing points of projection more than I’m comfortable sacrificing ceiling. I’ll elaborate. Let’s immediately jump into Monday’s pitchers, with Chris Sale functioning as a prime example.
Pitcher Analysis
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam, quis nostrud exercitation ullamco laboris nisi ut aliquip ex ea commodo consequat. Duis aute irure dolor in reprehenderit in voluptate velit esse cillum dolore eu fugiat nulla pariatur. Excepteur sint occaecat cupidatat non proident, sunt in culpa qui officia deserunt mollit anim id est laborum. "Sed ut perspiciatis unde omnis iste natus error sit voluptatem accusantium doloremque laudantium, totam rem aperiam, eaque ipsa quae ab illo inventore veritatis et quasi architecto beatae vitae dicta sunt explicabo. Nemo enim ipsam voluptatem quia voluptas sit aspernatur aut odit aut fugit, sed quia consequuntur magni dolores eos qui ratione voluptatem sequi nesciunt. Neque porro quisquam est, qui dolorem ipsum quia dolor sit amet, consectetur, adipisci velit, sed quia non numquam eius modi tempora incidunt ut labore et dolore magnam aliquam quaerat voluptatem.
