The One Hitter: MLB game-by-game betting breakdown (8/9)

Each day, we are going to try and give you a quick preview of today’s main slate and any interesting betting angles that we spot. Take a look.

All betting lines and information are from the FanDuel Sportsbook.

Brewers (-205), Cubs (+172)
Total: 9.0 runs
Freddy Peralta (R) vs. Alec Mills (R)

The Brew Crew has cut down on the whiffs (17.5%), but their .294 wOBA is pretty pukey.
Chicago is truly an offense we want to target – for opposing pitchers. Over the last week, they have a 33.5% strikeout rate and .264 wOBA.
Can Alec Mills solve lefties? He’s allowed an egregious .383 wOBA to them this season.

Best bets: This is a same-game parlay special. Peralta has been awesome, and a Rowdy Tellez homer prop will be nasty.

White Sox (-200), Twins (+168)
Total: 9.5 runs
Lucas Giolito (R) vs. Beau Burrows (R)

Lucas Giolito has been insane for the last month, posting a 1.74 ERA and 1.01 WHIP.
Beau Burrows, primarily a reliever, has been bombed this season – a 16.3% walk rate and 2.00 HR/9 are ugly numbers.
This White Sox team is already scary, and activating Luis Robert off the 60-game IL is even more frightening.

Best bets: Another same-game parlay, and find yourself some love for José Abreu or even a sneaky Luis Robert prop.

Yankees (-180), Royals (+152)
Total: 10.0 runs
Jameson Taillon (R) vs. Carlos Hernández (R)

Carlos Hernández will face his stiffest test yet – but he acquitted himself well in back-to-back White Sox starts (11 innings, 11 whiffs, one earned run).
The Yankees have been better, but where did the pop go? In the last week, they sport only a .142 ISO.
Jameson Taillon has been a boss in the last month, recording a 1.48 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in the last month.

Best bets: I actually like the UNDER here. Both pitchers are better than people realize.

Marlins (+220), Padres (-270)
Total: 7.5 runs
Zach Thompson (R) vs. Joe Musgrove (R)

Joe Musgrove is on pace for the best strikeout rate of his career – his 27.9% blows away any previous mark he’s recorded.
The Marlins stink – over the last seven days, they’ve recorded a 25.1% strikeout rate and a not-so-nice .169 ISO.
The Padres are missing Fernando Tatis Jr. in a big way – their .138 ISO in the last week is one of the league’s worst marks.

Best bets: A F3/F5 bet on the Padres makes a lot of sense, and don’t ignore a Joe Musgrove strikeout prop.

Find the best prices for your favorite props each day here with the FTN Prop Shop.

Looking for free betting tools to help you win? Try the FTN Parlay Calculator and FTN Prop Shop.

Matt Kupferle