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Chris Meaney
Dfs PGA Articles
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: 2022 RBC Heritage
Golf is the only sport in which the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament, like this week’s RBC Heritage, provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize yourself with the strokes […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
The Masters Round 4 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Round 4 of The Masters is an entirely different animal from Rounds 1-3. The inclusion of finishing position bonus points makes ownership more concentrated, but it also makes it more difficult for the more contrarian options to outperform the chalkier options. Consequently, we need to be selective about where we want to differentiate. The […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA Masters Round 3 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Scottie Scheffler is trying to make the final 36 holes a mere formality on the way to his first green jacket. He’s now clear of the field by a handful of strokes thanks to a stellar round today. Scheffler went 4-under on the back nine to extend his lead heading into the weekend. There’s a […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA Masters Round 2 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Masters Round 2 Showdown Picks and Strategy If you believe you have an edge in DFS golf in general, then you should be trying to take advantage of showdown slates like Friday’s second round at the Masters. The more slates you impose your edge on the field, the more return you should realize. Like full […]
Bryan DeCorte
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA Masters Round 1 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Round 1 DFS showdown for a golf event, like this week’s Masters Tournament, may not have the same edges that we can find in Rounds 2-4 when the field is overreacting to what the saw the previous day, but there are still edges to be found. Overall, if you believe you have an edge in […]
Bryan DeCorte
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS volatility report: 2022 Masters
The DFS Volatility Report, much like the Masters, is a tradition unlike any other. As we work our way through the beginning of the season, this piece will change, but it will always highlight the volatility of the golfers in a given field for that week. The reason for that is we are targeting outsized […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
7 under $7,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2022 Masters
Every week, a crucial part of success in PGA DFS GPPs will be hitting on lower-owned/lower-salary golfers. Golf is a unique DFS sport in that all the golfers have the same opportunity to score. There are no starters, bench players, role players, third-down backs, etc. The golfer who is $6,000 is guaranteed to play at […]
Kyle Murray
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2022 Masters
PGA DFS Hot Takes for The Masters Welcome to Masters Week at Augusta National. A strong, unique course fit model only enhances my excitement for the event, as does the debut of our new birdie rate over expected metric. Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
Birdie Rate Over Expected – A Hidden Edge in PGA DFS
A new way to look at PGA DFS is with a new metric: Birdie Rate Over Expected. Below, we will discuss how this new way of looking at players can help us build better DFS lineups. What is it? Birdie rate over expected measures the amount of birdies a player makes above his expected […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
Matt’s Musings | PGA Data Study, April 4
It’s very difficult to predict golf. I’m not breaking any news here. You’re likely familiar with trying to predict the PGA Tour if you’re reading this. It is a sport filled with randomness and with a lot of moving parts that lead to an ever-increasing amount of variance. I think the most important thing in […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: The Masters
Golf is the only sport in which the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize yourself with the strokes gained statistics if you haven’t […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA Valero Texas Open Round 4 Showdown Picks and Strategy
We’re heading into the final round of the Valero Texas Open and we have an absolute logjam at the top of the leaderboard. Four golfers are tied at 10-under: Brandt Snedeker Beau Hossler Dylan Frittelli JJ Spaun Of that quartet, Brandt Snedeker has the most sustainable strokes gained make-up. He’s 0.5 strokes clear of the […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
Matt’s Musings | PGA Data Study, April 2
It’s very difficult to predict golf. I’m not breaking any news here. You all are likely familiar with trying to predict the PGA Tour if you’re reading this. It is a sport filled with randomness and with a lot of moving parts that lead to an ever-increasing amount of variance. I think the most […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA Valero Texas Open Round 3 Showdown Picks and Strategy
At the Valero Texas Open today, Ryan Palmer opened up a two-stroke lead following his 6-under day. We have a pretty bunched leaderboard, though, with eight other golfers within three strokes of the lead. Of that group, Matt Kuchar has been the most reliant on his putter. There’s always a chance that a hot putter […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
Matt’s Musings | PGA Data Study, April 1
It’s very difficult to predict golf. I’m not breaking any news here. You all are likely familiar with trying to predict the PGA Tour if you’re reading this. It is a sport filled with randomness and with a lot of moving parts that lead to an ever-increasing amount of variance. I think the most […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA Valero Texas Open Round 2 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Valero Texas Open Round 2 Showdown Picks and Strategy If you believe you have an edge in DFS golf in general, then you should be trying to take advantage of showdown slates like Friday’s second round at the Valero Texas Open. The more slates you impose your edge on the field, the more return you […]
Bryan DeCorte
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the Valero Texas Open
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the Valero Texas Open It’s hard to get too excited for the Valero Texas Open, considering the Masters is immediately after. However, we have a strong course fit model and one that gives us a fairly large edge in DFS this week. Plus, regardless of the event, PGA DFS […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
Matt’s Musings | PGA Data Study, March 30
It’s very difficult to predict golf. I’m not breaking any news here. You all are likely familiar with trying to predict the PGA Tour if you’re reading this. It is a sport filled with randomness and with a lot of moving parts that lead to an ever-increasing amount of variance. I think the most important […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA Valero Texas Open Round 1 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Round 1 DFS showdown for a PGA Tour event, like this week’s Valero Texas Open, may not have the same edges that we can find in Rounds 2-4 when the field is overreacting to what the saw the previous day, but there are still edges to be found. Overall, if you believe you have an […]
Bryan DeCorte
PGA
DFS
7 under $7,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2022 Valero Texas Open
Every week a crucial part of success in PGA DFS GPPs will be hitting on lower-rostered/lower-salary golfers. Golf is a unique DFS sport in that all the golfers have the same opportunity to score. There are no starters, bench players, role players, third-down backs, etc. The golfer who is $6,000 is guaranteed to play at […]
Kyle Murray
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS volatility report: 2022 Valero Texas Open
The Valero Open is our Masters appetizer once again. The field actually does feature a bit of star power with Rory McIlroy making the trip. If a couple of the more expensive golfers in the field don’t quite get it done, the rest of the field is all pretty bunched up, and the tournament seems […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: Valero Texas Open
Golf is the only sport in which the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament, like this week’s Valero Texas Open, provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize yourself with […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play
The WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play is one of my favorite events year in and year out, as it requires more creative thought and DFS strategy than any other PGA Tour stop. Consequently, this week I’m going to focus on the strategy and roster construction side of things more than specific plays. Regardless of the event, […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
Matt’s Musings | PGA Data Study, March 22
Last week, I switched things up by talking about a little college basketball. March Madness gets everyone involved, and the PGA Tour is no exception. The WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play format is just like all the bracket contests that you’ve likely been participating in for most of your adult life. I wanted to go through […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS volatility report: 2022 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play Event
The WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play event tees off Wednesday this week. It’s not a traditional event, but there’s still some utility in checking out the field’s volatility for DFS. Match play is more variant than stroke play to begin with, so if you can find some volatile golfers that pull off an upset and win […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
7 under $7,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2022 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play Event
Every week a crucial part of success in PGA DFS GPPs will be hitting on lower-owned/lower-salary golfers. Golf is a unique DFS sport in that all the golfers have the same opportunity to score. There are no starters, bench players, role players, third-down backs, etc. The golfer who is $6,000 is guaranteed to play at […]
Kyle Murray
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: WGC Dell Technologies Match Play
Golf is the only sport in which the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize yourself with the strokes gained statistics if you haven’t […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA WGC Dell Match Play DFS Picks and Strategy
There are two tournaments on the PGA Tour schedule this week, but the main draw will be the WGC Match Play which takes place at Austin Country Club in Austin, Texas. Outside of the majors, this is my favorite event of the year. Sunday can drag a bit with only two matches going, but Wednesday […]
Bryan DeCorte
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA Valspar Championship Round 4 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Another day, another golfer separating himself from the field… In Round 3, Davis Riley was three strokes better than the next closest competitor. He shot a 9-under round on his way to the 54-hole lead. Riley was just under 2 full strokes better than the nearest golfer to him in SG: Putting and over a […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA Valspar Championship Round 3 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Most of the scores near the top of the leaderboard from today look pretty standard. We’ve come to expect these types of scores in the 3-under to 5-under round. Then, you get to the top and you see a 10-under effort from Matthew NeSmith. In my database, going back through the 2017 season, there have […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA Valspar Championship Round 2 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Round 2 in PGA DFS showdown is all about letting everyone else over-react to Round 1. This doesn’t mean we shouldn’t take anything from the Thursday action in this week’s Valspar Championship, but we want to be disciplined about how we adjust our priors. The easiest way to do this is through projections or, my […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the Valspar Championship
Fresh off the Cam Smith outright, let’s see if we can turn the betting success into DFS glory at The Valspar Championship. Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you have to feel like you’re on an island when […]
Alex Blickle