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PGA DFS
2022 Mexico Open Round 1 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Round 1 DFS showdown for a golf event, like this week’s Mexico Open, may not have the same edges that we can find in Rounds 2-4 when the field is overreacting to what the saw the previous day, but there are still edges to be found.  Overall, if you believe you have an edge in […]
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Bryan DeCorte
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS volatility report: 2022 Mexico Open
After a week off for the team event, the volatility report is back for the PGA Tour’s Mexico Open. We have a new course, a weak field, and a whole bunch of questions heading into this week. That typically means that people want to get into their comfort zone and go with “safe” golfers. We’re […]
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Matt Jones
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PGA DFS
2022 PGA RBC Heritage Round 4 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Harold Varner had the round of the day and holds the 54-hole lead. It feels like months since we’ve had a crowded leaderboard at the top heading into Sunday. That means that rostership might not be quite as concentrated as we’ve seen in recent weeks with the leaders.      I’m looking at golfers between […]
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Matt Jones
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PGA DFS
2022 PGA RBC Heritage Round 3 Showdown Picks and Strategy
As we head into the weekend, Patrick Cantlay is clear of the field by two strokes at the RBC Heritage. There are 21 other golfers within five strokes of the lead, though, and there’s plenty of golf left to be played. Robert Streb is the closest chaser, just two strokes back of Cantlay.      […]
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Matt Jones
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PGA DFS
2022 PGA RBC Heritage Round 2 Showdown Picks and Strategy
RBC Heritage Round 2 Showdown Picks and Strategy If you believe you have an edge in DFS golf in general, then you should be trying to take advantage of showdown slates like Friday’s second round at the RBC Heritage. The more slates you impose your edge on the field, the more return you should realize. […]
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Bryan DeCorte
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2022 RBC Heritage
The RBC Heritage is a player-favorite thanks to Harbour Town Golf Links. A strong, intuitive course fit model demonstrates the importance of our stroke gained: driving accuracy metric. Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you have to feel like you’re […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
7 under $7,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2022 RBC Heritage
Every week, a crucial part of success in PGA DFS GPPs will be hitting on lower-rostered/lower-salary golfers. Golf is a unique DFS sport in that all the golfers have the same opportunity to score. There are no starters, bench players, role players, third0down backs, etc. The golfer who is $6,000 is guaranteed to play at […]
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Kyle Murray
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PGA DFS
2022 RBC Heritage Round 1 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Round 1 DFS showdown for a golf event, like this week’s RBC Heritage, may not have the same edges that we can find in Rounds 2-4 when the field is overreacting to what the saw the previous day, but there are still edges to be found.  Overall, if you believe you have an edge in […]
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Bryan DeCorte
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS volatility report: 2022 RBC Heritage
We’re turning the page after an exciting Masters Tournament and moving to the RBC Heritage at Harbour Town Golf Links. As things stand, we should have an exciting field barring any last-minute WDs.    As we work our way through the beginning of the season, this piece will change, but it will always highlight the […]
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Matt Jones
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: 2022 RBC Heritage
Golf is the only sport in which the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament, like this week’s RBC Heritage, provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize yourself with the strokes […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
The Masters Round 4 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Round 4 of The Masters is an entirely different animal from Rounds 1-3. The inclusion of finishing position bonus points makes ownership more concentrated, but it also makes it more difficult for the more contrarian options to outperform the chalkier options.    Consequently, we need to be selective about where we want to differentiate. The […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
2022 PGA Masters Round 3 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Scottie Scheffler is trying to make the final 36 holes a mere formality on the way to his first green jacket. He’s now clear of the field by a handful of strokes thanks to a stellar round today. Scheffler went 4-under on the back nine to extend his lead heading into the weekend. There’s a […]
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Matt Jones
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PGA DFS
2022 PGA Masters Round 2 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Masters Round 2 Showdown Picks and Strategy If you believe you have an edge in DFS golf in general, then you should be trying to take advantage of showdown slates like Friday’s second round at the Masters. The more slates you impose your edge on the field, the more return you should realize. Like full […]
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Bryan DeCorte
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PGA DFS
2022 PGA Masters Round 1 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Round 1 DFS showdown for a golf event, like this week’s Masters Tournament, may not have the same edges that we can find in Rounds 2-4 when the field is overreacting to what the saw the previous day, but there are still edges to be found.  Overall, if you believe you have an edge in […]
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Bryan DeCorte
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS volatility report: 2022 Masters
The DFS Volatility Report, much like the Masters, is a tradition unlike any other.  As we work our way through the beginning of the season, this piece will change, but it will always highlight the volatility of the golfers in a given field for that week. The reason for that is we are targeting outsized […]
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Matt Jones
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PGA DFS
7 under $7,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2022 Masters
Every week, a crucial part of success in PGA DFS GPPs will be hitting on lower-owned/lower-salary golfers. Golf is a unique DFS sport in that all the golfers have the same opportunity to score. There are no starters, bench players, role players, third-down backs, etc. The golfer who is $6,000 is guaranteed to play at […]
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Kyle Murray
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2022 Masters
PGA DFS Hot Takes for The Masters     Welcome to Masters Week at Augusta National. A strong, unique course fit model only enhances my excitement for the event, as does the debut of our new birdie rate over expected metric. Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
Birdie Rate Over Expected – A Hidden Edge in PGA DFS
A new way to look at PGA DFS is with a new metric: Birdie Rate Over Expected. Below, we will discuss how this new way of looking at players can help us build better DFS lineups.   What is it? Birdie rate over expected measures the amount of birdies a player makes above his expected […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
Matt’s Musings | PGA Data Study, April 4
It’s very difficult to predict golf. I’m not breaking any news here. You’re likely familiar with trying to predict the PGA Tour if you’re reading this. It is a sport filled with randomness and with a lot of moving parts that lead to an ever-increasing amount of variance. I think the most important thing in […]
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Matt Jones
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: The Masters
Golf is the only sport in which the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize yourself with the strokes gained statistics if you haven’t […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
2022 PGA Valero Texas Open Round 4 Showdown Picks and Strategy
We’re heading into the final round of the Valero Texas Open and we have an absolute logjam at the top of the leaderboard. Four golfers are tied at 10-under: Brandt Snedeker Beau Hossler Dylan Frittelli JJ Spaun Of that quartet, Brandt Snedeker has the most sustainable strokes gained make-up. He’s 0.5 strokes clear of the […]
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Matt Jones
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PGA DFS
Matt’s Musings | PGA Data Study, April 2
It’s very difficult to predict golf. I’m not breaking any news here. You all are likely familiar with trying to predict the PGA Tour if you’re reading this. It is a sport filled with randomness and with a lot of moving parts that lead to an ever-increasing amount of variance.   I think the most […]
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Matt Jones
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PGA DFS
2022 PGA Valero Texas Open Round 3 Showdown Picks and Strategy
At the Valero Texas Open today, Ryan Palmer opened up a two-stroke lead following his 6-under day.  We have a pretty bunched leaderboard, though, with eight other golfers within three strokes of the lead. Of that group, Matt Kuchar has been the most reliant on his putter. There’s always a chance that a hot putter […]
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Matt Jones
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PGA DFS
Matt’s Musings | PGA Data Study, April 1
It’s very difficult to predict golf. I’m not breaking any news here. You all are likely familiar with trying to predict the PGA Tour if you’re reading this. It is a sport filled with randomness and with a lot of moving parts that lead to an ever-increasing amount of variance.   I think the most […]
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Matt Jones
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PGA DFS
2022 PGA Valero Texas Open Round 2 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Valero Texas Open Round 2 Showdown Picks and Strategy If you believe you have an edge in DFS golf in general, then you should be trying to take advantage of showdown slates like Friday’s second round at the Valero Texas Open. The more slates you impose your edge on the field, the more return you […]
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Bryan DeCorte
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the Valero Texas Open
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the Valero Texas Open   It’s hard to get too excited for the Valero Texas Open, considering the Masters is immediately after. However, we have a strong course fit model and one that gives us a fairly large edge in DFS this week. Plus, regardless of the event, PGA DFS […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
Matt’s Musings | PGA Data Study, March 30
It’s very difficult to predict golf. I’m not breaking any news here. You all are likely familiar with trying to predict the PGA Tour if you’re reading this. It is a sport filled with randomness and with a lot of moving parts that lead to an ever-increasing amount of variance. I think the most important […]
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Matt Jones
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PGA DFS
2022 PGA Valero Texas Open Round 1 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Round 1 DFS showdown for a PGA Tour event, like this week’s Valero Texas Open, may not have the same edges that we can find in Rounds 2-4 when the field is overreacting to what the saw the previous day, but there are still edges to be found.  Overall, if you believe you have an […]
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Bryan DeCorte
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PGA DFS
7 under $7,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2022 Valero Texas Open
Every week a crucial part of success in PGA DFS GPPs will be hitting on lower-rostered/lower-salary golfers. Golf is a unique DFS sport in that all the golfers have the same opportunity to score. There are no starters, bench players, role players, third-down backs, etc. The golfer who is $6,000 is guaranteed to play at […]
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Kyle Murray
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS volatility report: 2022 Valero Texas Open
The Valero Open is our Masters appetizer once again. The field actually does feature a bit of star power with Rory McIlroy making the trip. If a couple of the more expensive golfers in the field don’t quite get it done, the rest of the field is all pretty bunched up, and the tournament seems […]
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Matt Jones
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: Valero Texas Open
Golf is the only sport in which the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament, like this week’s Valero Texas Open, provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize yourself with […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play
The WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play is one of my favorite events year in and year out, as it requires more creative thought and DFS strategy than any other PGA Tour stop. Consequently, this week I’m going to focus on the strategy and roster construction side of things more than specific plays. Regardless of the event, […]
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Alex Blickle