Alex Blickle's Articles

The PGA playoffs are in full swing and we’re in for a treat this week with Caves Valley. Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risk and reward of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you have to feel like you’re on an island when it comes to your […]

Golf is the only sport where the “arena” in which it is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize yourself with the strokes gained statistics, if you haven’t already. […]

In this article, I’ll use the Strikeout Model to sift through the pitching options on DraftKings tonight. We’ll discuss the threshold probabilities and how they combine with projected ownership to allow us to consistently make +EV decisions at the starting pitcher position. Six-game slate! Unfortunately, the pitching tonight is pretty ugly. Pitchers to Play Alek […]

In this article, I’ll use the Strikeout Model to sift through the pitching options on DraftKings tonight. We’ll discuss the threshold probabilities and how they combine with projected ownership to allow us to consistently make +EV decisions at the starting pitcher position. With two games already PPD, we’re down to a very comfortable eight-game slate […]

In this article, I’ll use the Strikeout Model to sift through the pitching options on DraftKings tonight. We’ll discuss the threshold probabilities and how they combine with projected ownership to allow us to consistently make +EV decisions at the starting pitcher position. We’ve got a five-game slate! If you’ve been reading my stuff for even […]

In this article, I’ll use the Strikeout Model to sift through the pitching options on DraftKings for Friday. We’ll discuss the threshold probabilities and how they combine with projected ownership to allow us to consistently make +EV decisions at the starting pitcher position. For the second consecutive day, this article is being written in the first […]

In this article, I’ll use the Strikeout Model to sift through the pitching options on DraftKings tonight. We’ll discuss the threshold probabilities and how they combine with projected ownership to allow us to consistently make +EV decisions at the starting pitcher position. It’s just a four-game slate Thursday night, which means we’ll look for some key […]

The PGA playoffs are here. Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risk and reward of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you have to feel like you’re on an island when it comes to your viewpoint of a play in order to be in the highest EV position. […]

Most weeks in PGA DFS, dipping below $7k can be quite ugly, and this week is no different. The uncertainty surrounding Liberty National and what it will demand from these golfers brings even more randomness into play this week, but perhaps that’s actually an argument in favor of dipping so low into the player pool. […]

Golf is the only sport where the “arena” in which it is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize yourself with the strokes gained statistics, if you haven’t already. These […]

In this article, I’ll use the Strikeout Model to sift through the pitching options on DraftKings tonight. We’ll discuss the threshold probabilities and how they combine with projected ownership to allow us to consistently make +EV decisions at the starting pitcher position. We’ve got a five-game slate! If you’ve been reading my stuff for even […]

In this article, I’ll use the Strikeout Model to sift through the pitching options on DraftKings tonight. We’ll discuss the threshold probabilities and how they combine with projected ownership to allow us to consistently make +EV decisions at the starting pitcher position. We’ve got a 10-game Sunday slate on tap with some really interesting pitchers. Let’s […]

In this article, I’ll use the Strikeout Model to sift through the pitching options on DraftKings tonight. We’ll discuss the threshold probabilities and how they combine with projected ownership to allow us to consistently make +EV decisions at the starting pitcher position. With 14 games on tap for Friday, we have a ton of guys to […]

Finally, a regular PGA Tour event again, with this week’s Wyndham Championship. I can’t wait. Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risk and reward of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you have to feel like you’re on an island when it comes to your viewpoint of a […]

Most weeks, dipping below $7k in PGA DFS can be quite ugly, and this week is no different. With a traditional cut at the Wyndham Championship, the risk of these plays is magnified. In fact, I will almost certainly have to sneak into the low $7ks for this article out of a complete lack of […]

Golf is the only sport where the “arena” in which it is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize yourself with the strokes gained statistics, if you haven’t already. […]

In this article, I’ll use the Strikeout Model to sift through the pitching options on DraftKings Monday. We’ll discuss the threshold probabilities and how they combine with projected ownership to allow us to consistently make +EV decisions at the starting pitcher position. We’ve got a five-game slate Monday. If you’ve been reading my stuff for even […]

In this article, I’ll use the Strikeout Model to sift through the pitching options on DraftKings tonight. We’ll discuss the threshold probabilities and how they combine with projected ownership to allow us to consistently make +EV decisions at the starting pitcher position. We’ve got a 10-game Sunday slate, so let’s get to it. Pitchers to play […]

In this article, I’ll use the Strikeout Model to sift through the pitching options on DraftKings. We’ll discuss the threshold probabilities and how they combine with projected ownership to allow us to consistently make +EV decisions at the starting pitcher position. As is usually the case with larger slates, we have a number of options […]

We have yet another no-cut PGA event this week, this time at TPC Southwind, but at least it’s a stacked field. Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risk and reward of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you have to feel like you’re on an island when it […]

Most weeks, dipping below $7k in PGA DFS can be quite ugly, and this week at the St. Jude Invitational is no different. However, just like last week, all four rounds are guaranteed (as long as they don’t WD), so dipping into this range could be a key way to get access to an extra […]

Golf is the only sport where the “arena” in which it is played changes so dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize yourself with the strokes gained statistics, if you aren’t already. […]

In this article, I’ll use the Strikeout Model to sift through the pitching options on DraftKings Monday. We’ll discuss the threshold probabilities and how they combine with projected ownership to allow us to consistently make +EV decisions at the starting pitcher position. This is one of the uglier pitching slates that I can remember. Such slates […]

In this article, I’ll use the Strikeout Model to sift through the pitching options on DraftKings tonight. We’ll discuss the threshold probabilities and how they combine with projected ownership to allow us to consistently make +EV decisions at the starting pitcher position. Sunday is a tough slate in the sense that there are no pitching options […]

In this article, I’ll use the Strikeout Model to sift through the pitching options on DraftKings tonight. We’ll discuss the threshold probabilities and how they combine with projected ownership to allow us to consistently make +EV decisions at the starting pitcher position. Hopefully trade news doesn’t blow up any of the following analysis before or after […]

I would love Olympic golf except for the fact that no course data means no course fit model. It feels a little bit like I’m flying in the dark, but here’s the thing — so is everybody else. So let’s take advantage of ownership inefficiencies born out of overconfidence.  Regardless of the event, golf DFS […]

Most weeks, dipping below $7k can be quite ugly, and this week at the Olympics is no different. However, with four rounds guaranteed for all players (no cut), dipping into this range could be a key way to get access to an extra stud.  DK scorers Kyle Murray touched on this aspect in his Murray Model […]

In this article, I’ll use the Strikeout Model to sift through the pitching options on DraftKings tonight. We’ll discuss the threshold probabilities and how they combine with projected ownership to allow us to consistently make +EV decisions at the starting pitcher position. It’s a relatively small slate, which I actually prefer, as it narrows the […]

In this article, I’ll use the Strikeout Model to sift through the pitching options on DraftKings for Sunday. We’ll discuss the threshold probabilities and how they combine with projected ownership to allow us to consistently make +EV decisions at the starting pitcher position. Pitchers to play Yu Darvish, San Diego Padres Though it feels like Miami […]

In this article, I’ll use the Strikeout Model to sift through the pitching options on DraftKings tonight. We’ll discuss the threshold probabilities and how they combine with projected ownership to allow us to consistently make +EV decisions at the starting pitcher position. Pitchers to Play Joe Musgrove Joe Musgrove tops the slate in projected DK […]

The 3M open is not exactly the most exciting week on Tour, but regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risk and reward of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you have to feel like you’re on an island when it comes to your viewpoint of a play in […]

After a successful 7-under 7k week at The Open, I regret to inform you all that there isn’t a single player under $7k that I’m comfortable recommending. Even if MMEing, I wouldn’t include a single one in my pool. So, for this week, we’re going to change things up and I’m going to discuss the […]