Alex Blickle's Articles

Correlation abounds in MLB DFS, particularly through the use of stacking. The first type of correlation is obvious – as one hitter doubles in another, the hitter is rewarded with an additional two DK points for the RBI and the baserunner gets an additional two for the run scored. We can call this type of […]

A return to Quail Hollow for the Wells Fargo means one thing – a return to my favorite course fit model in golf. It won’t take you long to see why.   A brief reminder of the thought process behind and execution of the course fit model: Golf is the only sport such that the […]

This article will cover my NBA DFS picks today with a focus on GPPs and tournaments. Playoff DFS is fantastic, but this year’s pricing is making it even more of a challenge (which can be great for us). Even in the postseason, there can be news dropping throughout the day that changes things, so these […]

MLB DFS is possibly my favorite puzzle of all. I recommend re-visiting my pre-season strategy article from a year ago if you haven’t already, as I’ll touch on many of the same concepts each time I break down a slate. The tl;dr version goes something like this: MLB DFS lineups have three components – pitching, a […]

Buckle up, friends – this week’s hot takes is going to be a wild ride with such a weak field. PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you have to feel like you’re on an island when it comes to your viewpoint of […]

Correlation abounds in MLB DFS, particularly through the use of stacking. The first type of correlation is obvious – as one hitter doubles in another, the hitter is rewarded with an additional two DK points for the RBI and the baserunner gets an additional two for the run scored. We can call this type of […]

The Mexico Open returns to Vidanta Vallarta for the second year, which unfortunately means our course fit model will have a sample size issue this week. All we can hope for is for the model to point us in the right direction, but we certainly won’t be relying on it to the same degree we […]

MLB DFS is possibly my favorite puzzle of all. I recommend re-visiting my pre-season strategy article from a year ago if you haven’t already, as I’ll touch on many of the same concepts each time I break down a slate. The tl;dr version goes something like this: MLB DFS lineups have three components – pitching, a […]

MLB DFS is possibly my favorite puzzle of all. I recommend re-visiting my preseason strategy article from a year ago if you haven’t already, as I’ll touch on many of the same concepts each time I break down a slate. The tl;dr version goes something like this: MLB DFS lineups have three components – pitching, […]

This article will cover my NBA DFS picks for Saturday with a focus on GPPs and tournaments. Playoff DFS is fantastic, but this year’s pricing is making it even more of a challenge (which can be great for us). Even in the postseason, there can be news dropping throughout the day that changes things, so […]

MLB DFS is possibly my favorite puzzle of all. I recommend re-visiting my pre-season strategy article from a year ago if you haven’t already, as I’ll touch on many of the same concepts each time I break down a slate. The tl;dr version goes something like this: MLB DFS lineups have three components – pitching, […]

Correlation abounds in MLB DFS, particularly through the use of stacking. The first type of correlation is obvious – as one hitter doubles in another, the hitter is rewarded with an additional two DK points for the RBI and the baserunner gets an additional two for the run scored. We can call this type of […]

This article will cover my NBA DFS picks today with a focus on GPPs and tournaments. Playoff DFS is fantastic, but this year’s pricing is making it even more of a challenge (which can be great for us). Even in the postseason, there can be news dropping throughout the day that changes things, so these […]

MLB DFS is possibly my favorite puzzle of all. I recommend re-visiting my pre-season strategy article from a year ago if you haven’t already, as I’ll touch on many of the same concepts each time I break down a slate. The tl;dr version goes something like this: MLB DFS lineups have three components – pitching, a […]

MLB DFS is possibly my favorite puzzle of all. I recommend re-visiting my preseason strategy article from a year ago if you haven’t already, as I’ll touch on many of the same concepts each time I break down a slate. The tl;dr version goes something like this: MLB DFS lineups have three components – pitching, […]

MLB DFS is possibly my favorite puzzle of all. I recommend re-visiting my preseason strategy article from a year ago if you haven’t already, as I’ll touch on many of the same concepts each time I break down a slate. The tl;dr version goes something like this: MLB DFS lineups have three components – pitching, […]

We have a stacked field for one of the true gems of the PGA Tour (the RBC Heritage at Harbour Town) — fantastic. There are a number of price/rostership combinations that jump out to me this week, so let’s get right into it.   PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of […]

Correlation abounds in MLB DFS, particularly through the use of stacking. The first type of correlation is obvious – as one hitter doubles in another, the hitter is rewarded with an additional two DK points for the RBI and the baserunner gets an additional two for the run scored. We can call this type of […]

Correlation abounds in MLB DFS, particularly through the use of stacking. The first type of correlation is obvious – as one hitter doubles in another, the hitter is rewarded with an additional two DK points for the RBI and the baserunner gets an additional two for the run scored. We can call this type of […]

There’s no time to breathe following the Masters – we’re right back at it with an extremely exciting week at Harbour Town. Year after year, this has been one of the weaker fields in golf since the best in the world like to rest after the biggest week of the season. This year, however, its […]

MLB DFS is possibly my favorite puzzle of all. I recommend re-visiting my pre-season strategy article from a year ago if you haven’t already, as I’ll touch on many of the same concepts each time I break down a slate. The tl;dr version goes something like this: MLB DFS lineups have three components – pitching, a […]

There’s really nothing like Masters week, is there? From the on-course action to the incredible Masters app, everything about this week is as good as it gets. In fact, the only way to make it even better is to make it a profitable week, as well! Fortunately, I think we have quite the edge here. […]

MLB DFS is possibly my favorite puzzle of all. I recommend re-visiting my pre-season strategy article from a year ago if you haven’t already, as I’ll touch on many of the same concepts each time I break down a slate.    The tl;dr version goes something like this: MLB DFS lineups have three components – pitching, […]

Welcome to a tradition like any other, the pinnacle of golf. The Masters is my favorite major, if for no other reason than it’s the only one played at the same course year in and year out, making for one of the strongest and most actionable course fit models of the season. Spoiler alert – […]

In baseball, an “opener” has a simple job — help the team get off to a good start by limiting the opponent’s production in the first inning or two. He essentially paves the way for the rest of the bullpen and the offense to do their thing. This fantasy baseball article is similar — since […]

Sandwiched between the Match Play and The Masters, it’s easy for the Valero to get overlooked. However, the money we can make this week is just as real and we have a nice CF Model from which to do so.   PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation […]

One. More. Week. Seven days from now we’ll be diving full steam ahead into the Masters, but let’s not get too far ahead of ourselves. We have a chance to make it three great weeks in a row before we arrive at Augusta.   Once again, new this season, this article will focus on both […]

This week’s hot takes are powered by 10,000 simulations (shoutout to Frank Brank) of the bracket. The simulations use my expected strokes gained projections and our round-to-round standard deviation estimates to produce the probability that each player advances through group stage, reaches the Elite Eight, reaches the Final Four, reaches the final, and wins the […]

Match play is a completely different beast than stroke play. On a weekly basis, each player is locked in a 1-on-1 matchup of man vs. course. This week only, it’s mano a mano. As it turns out, this distinction has huge ramifications when it comes to which skill sets translate into success. If you were […]

I must admit — it’s easier to identify hot takes in the non-elevated PGA Tour events. The elevated events have seen softer pricing, resulting in wildly underpriced players (like Keegan Bradley at the API or Jason Day last week). At the Valspar, we’re back to the standard for PGA DFS — all chalk is fragile […]

The elevated events have caused a massive difference in the past few months between the strongest fields and weakest fields around the PGA. This is the first week in quite some time that has star power, but little depth behind it. This talent gap could mitigate the importance of course fit, but that won’t stop […]

The Players Championship is a high-leverage event with high-leverage shots. Trouble surrounds every corner, but so do scoring opportunities. It makes for a wonderfully entertaining event, hopefully with yet another stacked leaderboard.   PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you have to […]