
Below are odds from my model for this week’s golf event, the Charles Schwab Challenge. You can use these to compare to a bookmaker’s odds straight up, or you could use them in your own model to make adjustments. These odds are meant to be a tool for you to use how you best see fit. Various data inputs are used in my model before the simulations are computed.
If a golfer does not have odds, that implies that I either did not have enough data to confidently set a win probability or that golfer did not win any of the simulations I ran.
Also take note that these numbers do not include any implied juice that you will find when referencing bookmaker’s odds, which is why the worst golfers in the field will have extremely high odds compared to the bookmakers. If you have any questions, feel free to contact me.
Golfer | Win% | Wt Odds |
Justin Thomas | 8.60% | 1061 |
Daniel Berger | 7.40% | 1253 |
Collin Morikawa | 5.40% | 1736 |
Corey Conners | 4.50% | 2112 |
Abraham Ancer | 4.20% | 2307 |
Will Zalatoris | 4.00% | 2391 |
Tony Finau | 4.00% | 2397 |
Jordan Spieth | 4.00% | 2415 |
Patrick Reed | 3.40% | 2883 |
Joaquin Niemann | 3.30% | 2890 |
Jason Kokrak | 3.30% | 2907 |
Scottie Scheffler | 2.80% | 3485 |
Charley Hoffman | 2.60% | 3814 |
Sungjae Im | 2.10% | 4673 |
Cameron Tringale | 1.90% | 5151 |
Emiliano Grillo | 1.80% | 5412 |
Brian Harman | 1.50% | 6431 |
Matt Wallace | 1.50% | 6451 |
Ryan Palmer | 1.40% | 6942 |
Sergio Garcia | 1.40% | 7242 |
Billy Horschel | 1.30% | 7445 |
Talor Gooch | 1.20% | 8336 |
Gary Woodland | 1.10% | 9084 |
Lee Westwood | 1.10% | 9110 |
Si Woo Kim | 1.00% | 9660 |
Kevin Streelman | 1.00% | 9686 |
Brendon Todd | 0.90% | 10853 |
Justin Rose | 0.90% | 11376 |
Matt Jones | 0.90% | 11623 |
Harold Varner III | 0.80% | 11696 |
Lucas Glover | 0.80% | 12652 |
Cameron Davis | 0.80% | 12845 |
Chris Kirk | 0.70% | 13430 |
Jhonattan Vegas | 0.70% | 13568 |
Branden Grace | 0.70% | 15228 |
Matt Kuchar | 0.60% | 15882 |
Sebastian Munoz | 0.60% | 15988 |
Tom Hoge | 0.60% | 17416 |
Ian Poulter | 0.50% | 19910 |
Mackenzie Hughes | 0.50% | 20994 |
Kevin Kisner | 0.40% | 22223 |
Patton Kizzire | 0.40% | 23151 |
Luke List | 0.40% | 23215 |
Joel Dahmen | 0.40% | 23755 |
James Hahn | 0.40% | 23774 |
Michael Thompson | 0.40% | 23995 |
Carlos Ortiz | 0.40% | 24621 |
Phil Mickelson | 0.40% | 25058 |
Kevin Na | 0.40% | 25199 |
Zach Johnson | 0.40% | 25718 |
Dylan Frittelli | 0.40% | 26852 |
Richy Werenski | 0.40% | 26921 |
Scott Stallings | 0.40% | 27164 |
Sepp Straka | 0.40% | 28254 |
Doug Ghim | 0.30% | 28491 |
Adam Hadwin | 0.30% | 28504 |
Brice Garnett | 0.30% | 30244 |
Brandt Snedeker | 0.30% | 32186 |
Matthew NeSmith | 0.30% | 32303 |
Maverick Mcnealy | 0.30% | 32363 |
Denny McCarthy | 0.30% | 37118 |
Troy Merritt | 0.30% | 37807 |
Doc Redman | 0.20% | 40405 |
Vincent Whaley | 0.20% | 40791 |
J.T. Poston | 0.20% | 41007 |
Russell Knox | 0.20% | 41136 |
Chase Seiffert | 0.20% | 41236 |
Harry Higgs | 0.20% | 43311 |
C.T. Pan | 0.20% | 44855 |
Danny Lee | 0.20% | 45013 |
Cameron Champ | 0.20% | 46808 |
Pat Perez | 0.20% | 47187 |
Mark Hubbard | 0.20% | 50851 |
Nick Taylor | 0.20% | 53332 |
Joseph Bramlett | 0.20% | 54177 |
Kyoung-Hoon Lee | 0.20% | 58912 |
Rory Sabbatini | 0.20% | 60702 |
Anirban Lahiri | 0.20% | 60935 |
Adam Schenk | 0.20% | 66173 |
Keith Mitchell | 0.10% | 71178 |
Will Gordon | 0.10% | 71938 |
Jason Dufner | 0.10% | 79695 |
Wyndham Clark | 0.10% | 80091 |
Scott Piercy | 0.10% | 84353 |
Kyle Stanley | 0.10% | 84919 |
Andrew Putnam | 0.10% | 86879 |
Adam Long | 0.10% | 90610 |
Patrick Rodgers | 0.10% | 90635 |
Camilo Villegas | 0.10% | 92566 |
Brandon Hagy | 0.10% | 101939 |
Tyler McCumber | 0.10% | 103174 |
Sam Ryder | 0.10% | 107758 |
Michael Gligic | 0.10% | 109474 |
Peter Malnati | 0.10% | 110295 |
Henrik Norlander | 0.10% | 117541 |
Byeong Hun An | 0.10% | 120222 |
Nate Lashley | 0.10% | 150229 |
Brian Stuard | 0.10% | 156596 |
Sahith Theegala | 0.10% | 165089 |
Henrik Stenson | 0.10% | 182438 |
Scott Brown | 0.10% | 185363 |
Cameron Percy | 0.00% | 220649 |
Hudson Swafford | 0.00% | 231945 |
Robert Streb | 0.00% | 251996 |
Robby Shelton | 0.00% | 253282 |
Austin Cook | 0.00% | 263160 |
Rafa Cabrera Bello | 0.00% | 275075 |
Andrew Landry | 0.00% | 278689 |
Graeme McDowell | 0.00% | 314896 |
Kramer Hickok | 0.00% | 318168 |
Peter Uihlein | 0.00% | 428840 |
Xinjun Zhang | 0.00% | 441557 |
Jimmy Walker | 0.00% | 550850 |
Brian Gay | 0.00% | 737584 |
Sung Kang | 0.00% | 911422 |
D.A. Points | 0.00% | 14778542 |
John Augenstein | 0.00% | 20147039 |
Erik Compton | #N/A | #N/A |
Michael Visacki | #N/A | #N/A |
J. J. Henry | #N/A | #N/A |
Keith Clearwater | #N/A | #N/A |