Bettings

Below are odds from my model for this week’s golf event, the Rocket Mortgage Classic. You can use these to compare to a bookmaker’s odds straight up, or you could use them in your own model to make adjustments.  These odds are meant to be a tool for you to use how you best see fit. Various data inputs are used in my model before the simulations are computed.  

If a golfer does not have odds, that implies that I either did not have enough data to confidently set a win probability or that golfer did not win any of the simulations I ran.

Also take note that these numbers do not include any implied juice that you will find when referencing bookmaker’s odds, which is why the worst golfers in the field will have extremely high odds compared to the bookmakers. If you have any questions, feel free to contact me.

Golfer Win% Wt Odds
Patrick Reed 7.60% 1213
Bryson DeChambeau 6.20% 1513
Webb Simpson 5.40% 1753
Jason Kokrak 4.40% 2169
Joaquin Niemann 4.30% 2238
Will Zalatoris 4.20% 2297
Hideki Matsuyama 3.80% 2537
Charley Hoffman 3.40% 2862
Si Woo Kim 2.50% 3822
Emiliano Grillo 2.50% 3830
Jason Day 2.50% 3831
Cameron Tringale 2.50% 3887
Keegan Bradley 2.40% 3984
Sungjae Im 2.10% 4726
Max Homa 1.70% 5695
Alex Noren 1.60% 6115
Bubba Watson 1.40% 7133
Sebastian Munoz 1.30% 7716
Lanto Griffin 1.20% 7919
Kevin Kisner 1.20% 8532
Brendon Todd 1.10% 8905
Harold Varner III 1.10% 8925
Matt Jones 1.10% 8940
Joel Dahmen 1.10% 9178
Gary Woodland 1.10% 9191
Chris Kirk 1.10% 9221
Patton Kizzire 1.00% 10346
Garrick Higgo 0.90% 10713
Rickie Fowler 0.90% 11176
Lucas Glover 0.90% 11560
Charles Howell III 0.90% 11571
Doc Redman 0.80% 11802
Cameron Davis 0.80% 12773
Doug Ghim 0.80% 12988
Troy Merritt 0.70% 13560
Mackenzie Hughes 0.70% 14853
Kyle Stanley 0.70% 14983
Matthew Wolff 0.60% 15397
Russell Knox 0.60% 15729
Erik van Rooyen 0.60% 16430
Pat Perez 0.60% 16450
Sepp Straka 0.60% 16871
Luke List 0.60% 17680
Phil Mickelson 0.60% 17845
Adam Hadwin 0.60% 18045
James Hahn 0.50% 18161
Scott Stallings 0.50% 18388
Tom Hoge 0.50% 18757
Chez Reavie 0.50% 18979
Maverick McNealy 0.50% 20122
Brice Garnett 0.50% 20343
Dylan Frittelli 0.50% 20432
Hank Lebioda 0.50% 20593
Vincent Whaley 0.40% 23081
Michael Thompson 0.40% 24404
Danny Willett 0.40% 25479
Ryan Armour 0.40% 25597
Brandt Snedeker 0.40% 26031
Martin Laird 0.40% 28103
Matthew NeSmith 0.30% 29915
Joseph Bramlett 0.30% 30140
Danny Lee 0.30% 30202
Mark Hubbard 0.30% 30537
Rafa Cabrera Bello 0.30% 30755
Chase Seiffert 0.30% 32104
Richy Werenski 0.30% 33110
Denny McCarthy 0.30% 33322
Nick Taylor 0.30% 34892
Jason Dufner 0.30% 35320
Adam Long 0.30% 35627
Camilo Villegas 0.30% 35882
Bo Hoag 0.30% 35935
Tyler McCumber 0.30% 37859
Tom Lewis 0.30% 37936
Kramer Hickok 0.20% 40906
Henrik Norlander 0.20% 42311
Roger Sloan 0.20% 43212
Brian Stuard 0.20% 43962
Scott Piercy 0.20% 47705
Vaughn Taylor 0.20% 48230
Chesson Hadley 0.20% 48993
Byeong Hun An 0.20% 49236
Andrew Putnam 0.20% 49980
Adam Schenk 0.20% 50100
Cameron Champ 0.20% 51891
Patrick Rodgers 0.20% 55007
Robby Shelton 0.20% 55213
Kevin Chappell 0.20% 58682
Rafael Campos 0.20% 60557
Tyler Duncan 0.20% 62710
Nate Lashley 0.20% 62879
Peter Malnati 0.20% 63983
Harry Higgs 0.20% 64028
Anirban Lahiri 0.10% 66684
Brandon Hagy 0.10% 69689
Beau Hossler 0.10% 71253
Rory Sabbatini 0.10% 73121
Satoshi Kodaira 0.10% 78027
Bronson Burgoon 0.10% 78624
Robert Streb 0.10% 80096
Aaron Baddeley 0.10% 80677
Will Gordon 0.10% 95172
Andrew Landry 0.10% 103725
kris Ventura 0.10% 107311
Sam Ryder 0.10% 107659
Austin Cook 0.10% 115105
Chris Baker 0.10% 119689
Cameron Percy 0.10% 119768
Scott Brown 0.10% 129369
Scott Harrington 0.10% 130592
Ryan Brehm 0.10% 134406
Mark Anderson 0.10% 136180
Michael Gligic 0.10% 139637
Luke Donald 0.10% 140220
J.B. Holmes 0.10% 158290
J.J. Spaun 0.10% 177385
Ben Taylor 0.10% 188580
Rob Oppenheim 0.00% 201792
Jimmy Walker 0.00% 201934
Ted Potter, Jr. 0.00% 202867
David Hearn 0.00% 240701
Fabian Gomez 0.00% 272495
Kevin Tway 0.00% 324810
Sean O'Hair 0.00% 330756
D.J. Trahan 0.00% 364814
Rhein Gibson 0.00% 371804
K.J. Choi 0.00% 374008
Sebastian Cappelen 0.00% 422122
Sung Kang 0.00% 436162
Nelson Ledesma 0.00% 539325
William McGirt 0.00% 540602
Grayson Murray 0.00% 580309
Bo Van Pelt 0.00% 595915
Brian Gay 0.00% 899502
Michael Gellerman 0.00% 1324942
Nick Watney 0.00% 2147491
Jim Knous 0.00% 2250943
Hunter Mahan 0.00% 7837891
Michael Kim 0.00% 13657102
Kevin Stadler 0.00% 20159358
Matt Every 0.00% 37838575
Martin Trainer 0.00% 71333237
Curtis Thompson #N/A #N/A
Harrison Frazar #N/A #N/A
Jonas Blixt #N/A #N/A