NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Aaron RodgersPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Packers vs. Bears
Right now, Aaron Rodgers’s passing yards prop is set at 242.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet up the UNDER down to 242.5 (-110) after it opened @ 247.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 65.2% pass rate.
- The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- Aaron Rodgers has been among the leading passers in football since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 252.0 yards per game while checking in at the 83rd percentile.
- Aaron Rodgers has been among the most accurate QBs in the league since the start of last season with a stellar 70.3% Completion%, checking in at the 100th percentile.
- Aaron Rodgers has been among the best per-play QBs in football since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 8.04 yards-per-target while grading out in the 94th percentile.
Cons
- The Packers are a heavy 10-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to attempt 34.2 passes in this contest, on average: the 11th-least of all quarterbacks.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 27.3 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in football.
- Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 3rd-least yards in the NFL (just 192.0 per game) against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
266
Passing Yards
266
Passing Yards
