Week 2 Player Props: Passing Yards for Aaron Rodgers

Aaron RodgersPassing Yards

Right now, Aaron Rodgers’s passing yards prop is set at 242.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet up the UNDER down to 242.5 (-110) after it opened @ 247.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 65.2% pass rate.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Aaron Rodgers has been among the leading passers in football since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 252.0 yards per game while checking in at the 83rd percentile.
Aaron Rodgers has been among the most accurate QBs in the league since the start of last season with a stellar 70.3% Completion%, checking in at the 100th percentile.
Aaron Rodgers has been among the best per-play QBs in football since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 8.04 yards-per-target while grading out in the 94th percentile.

Cons

The Packers are a heavy 10-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to attempt 34.2 passes in this contest, on average: the 11th-least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing offenses have averaged 27.3 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in football.
Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 3rd-least yards in the NFL (just 192.0 per game) against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
266
Passing Yards