NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
C.J. BeathardPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Jaguars vs. Panthers
Right now, C.J. Beathard’s passing yards prop is set at 214.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 214.5 (-110) after it opened @ 224.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Jacksonville Jaguars will be forced to use backup QB C.J. Beathard in this week’s contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
- With a 65.5% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the league has been the Jacksonville Jaguars.
- Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 10th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.82 seconds per snap.
- C.J. Beathard profiles as one of the most on-target passers in football since the start of last season with a fantastic 75.1% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 97th percentile.
- As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Carolina’s unit has been very bad this year, grading out as the 8th-worst in the league.
Cons
- The Jaguars are a giant 7-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
- C.J. Beathard has attempted a mere 6.0 throws per game this year, grading out in the 18th percentile when it comes to QBs.
- Opposing teams have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
- With a very bad record of 36.0 adjusted passing yards per game (15th percentile), C.J. Beathard rates as one of the worst quarterbacks in the league this year.
- C.J. Beathard rates as one of the worst per-play passers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 5.40 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the lowly 15th percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
217
Passing Yards
217
Passing Yards
