NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Christian McCaffreyRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 16
49ers vs. Ravens
Right now, Christian McCaffrey’s rushing yards prop is set at 83.5 yards (-120/-100).
The public has bet the OVER up to 83.5 (-120) after it opened @ 80.5 (-110).
Pros
- This game’s spread indicates a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 6.5 points.
- The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 8th-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 44.4% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
- The model projects Christian McCaffrey to accumulate 19.2 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on balance, putting him in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs.
- The San Francisco 49ers offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league last year in run support.
- Christian McCaffrey has rushed for substantially more adjusted yards per game (97.0) this year than he did last year (68.0).
Cons
- The model projects the 49ers to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
- The 49ers have called the fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 52.5 plays per game.
- Christian McCaffrey’s 82.9% Snap% this season reflects a meaningful progression in his offensive workload over last season’s 71.5% mark.
- The opposing side have rushed for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 98.0 per game) vs. the Ravens defense this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
95
Rushing Yards
95
Rushing Yards
