Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Jayden Reed

Jayden ReedReceiving Yards

Right now, Jayden Reed’s receiving yards prop is set at 51.5 yards (-135/+105).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 51.5 (+105) after it opened @ 52.5 (-115).

Pros

The Buccaneers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (38.6 per game) this year.
In this week’s contest, Jayden Reed is forecasted by the model to slot into the 83rd percentile among wide receivers with 7.3 targets.
The model projects Jayden Reed to be much more involved in his offense’s passing game in this contest (22.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (16.8% in games he has played).
With a terrific 70.6% Adjusted Catch Rate (77th percentile) this year, Jayden Reed rates among the most reliable receivers in the league when it comes to wideouts.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has given up the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (188.0) vs. wide receivers this year.

Cons

A rushing game script is indicated by the Packers being a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 127.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Packers have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 56.4 plays per game.

Projection

THE BLITZ
56
Receiving Yards