Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Travis Kelce from EV Insight

Travis KelceReceiving Yards

Right now, Travis Kelce’s receiving yards prop is set at 70.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 70.5 (-115) after it opened @ 70.5 (-110).

Pros

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 64.6% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are predicted by the projections to call 65.5 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-most on the slate this week.
This week, Travis Kelce is expected by the model to rank in the 100th percentile among tight ends with 9.8 targets.
Travis Kelce has been an integral part of his team’s pass game, garnering a Target Share of 24.0% this year, which ranks him in the 99th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Travis Kelce checks in as one of the best tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging a stellar 75.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 100th percentile.

Cons

Opposing offenses have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game against the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 9th-fewest in the NFL.
When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Buffalo’s safety corps has been terrific this year, profiling as the 10th-best in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
77
Receiving Yards