Week 13 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Travis Kelce from EV Insight

Travis KelceReceiving Yards

Right now, Travis Kelce’s receiving yards prop is set at 70.5 yards (-115/-115).

Pros

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chiefs to pass on 62.0% of their downs: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
The model projects Travis Kelce to earn 9.1 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 100th percentile among TEs.
With a sizeable 24.7% Target Rate (99th percentile) this year, Travis Kelce has been among the TEs with the highest volume in the league.
Travis Kelce has put up a massive 62.0 air yards per game this year: 99th percentile when it comes to TEs.
Travis Kelce’s possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 74.6% to 82.5%.

Cons

A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 5.5-point favorite in this week’s game.
At the moment, the 10th-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Kansas City Chiefs.
Opposing teams have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 9th-fewest in the league.
Travis Kelce has accrued many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (73.0) this season than he did last season (80.0).
This year, the strong Packers defense has surrendered a mere 69.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 7th-best rate in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
69
Receiving Yards