Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Rashee RiceReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Raiders vs. Chiefs
Right now, Rashee Rice’s receiving yards prop is set at 40.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 40.5 (-115) after it opened @ 40.5 (-105).
Pros
- Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 63.6% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
- The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
- With an exceptional 80.5% Adjusted Catch Rate (99th percentile) this year, Rashee Rice has been as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to wideouts.
- Rashee Rice ranks as one of the most effective receivers in the league, averaging a stellar 10.62 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 92nd percentile among wideouts.
- This year, the feeble Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has given up a staggering 69.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 7th-biggest rate in football.
Cons
- The Chiefs are a huge 9.5-point favorite in this week’s game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
Projection
THE BLITZ
53
Receiving Yards
53
Receiving Yards
