Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Kyren WilliamsRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Cardinals vs. Rams
Right now, Kyren Williams’s rushing yards prop is set at 62.5 yards (-127/-108).
The public has bet the OVER up to 62.5 (-127) after it opened @ 62.5 (-115).
Pros
- In this week’s game, Kyren Williams is predicted by the projections to secure a spot in the 86th percentile among running backs with 15.6 carries.
- Kyren Williams has been much more involved in his team’s rushing attack this season (68.6% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (14.1%).
- Kyren Williams has run for many more adjusted yards per game (81.0) this season than he did last season (15.0).
- Kyren Williams’s 5.0 adjusted yards per carry this season shows a noteable gain in his running talent over last season’s 3.4 rate.
- This year, the shaky Cardinals run defense has been torched for a massive 137.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 4th-worst in the NFL.
Cons
- Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to run on 40.1% of their plays: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
- The model projects the Rams to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
- The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
Projection
THE BLITZ
72
Rushing Yards
72
Rushing Yards
