NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Jahmyr GibbsRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Lions vs. Packers
Right now, Jahmyr Gibbs’s rushing yards prop is set at 48.5 yards (-131/-104).
The public has bet the OVER up to 48.5 (-131) after it opened @ 45.5 (-121).
Pros
- An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Lions being a massive 8.5-point favorite this week.
- The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a staggering 60.9 per game on average).
- Jahmyr Gibbs has received 42.8% of his team’s rushing play calls this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile when it comes to RBs.
- With a remarkable record of 64.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (91st percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs ranks as one of the best running backs in the league this year.
- This year, the anemic Packers run defense has given up a massive 138.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-most in football.
Cons
- The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
Projection
THE BLITZ
47
Rushing Yards
47
Rushing Yards
