NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
T.J. HockensonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 11
Broncos vs. Vikings
Right now, T.J. Hockenson’s receiving yards prop is set at 58.5 yards (-130/+100).
The public has bet the OVER up to 58.5 (-130) after it opened @ 57.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Minnesota Vikings may take to the air less in this week’s game (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs.
- The leading projections forecast the Vikings as the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
- In this week’s contest, T.J. Hockenson is anticipated by the projections to position himself in the 100th percentile among tight ends with 10.3 targets.
- T.J. Hockenson has accrued a staggering 65.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
- T.J. Hockenson’s 54.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 43.5.
Cons
- Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Broncos, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.8 per game) this year.
- T.J. Hockenson’s talent in generating extra yardage have tailed off this year, accumulating just 3.99 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.18 rate last year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
63
Receiving Yards
63
Receiving Yards
