NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Wan’Dale RobinsonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 11
Commanders vs. Giants
Right now, Wan’Dale Robinson’s receiving yards prop is set at 21.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 21.5 (-115) after it opened @ 22.5 (-115).
Pros
- At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are giant underdogs in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on passing than their normal approach.
- The leading projections forecast the New York Giants to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
- The Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game against the Commanders defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
- Wan’Dale Robinson’s 82.5% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a meaningful growth in his receiving prowess over last season’s 77.9% rate.
Cons
- The model projects the New York Giants as the 5th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- Wan’Dale Robinson has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this season (17.0 per game) than he did last season (30.0 per game).
- With a RATE1-RATE2 point decrease in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) from last season to this one, Wan’Dale Robinson has been featured much less in his team’s air attack.
- In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the worst in the league this year.
- Wan’Dale Robinson has accumulated quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (28.0) this year than he did last year (39.0).
Projection
THE BLITZ
33
Receiving Yards
33
Receiving Yards
