Week 11 Player Props: Passing Yards for Dak Prescott from EV Insight

Dak PrescottPassing Yards

Right now, Dak Prescott’s passing yards prop is set at 262.5 yards (-129/-106).

The public has bet the OVER up to 262.5 (-129) after it opened @ 251.5 (-119).

Pros

The model projects the Cowboys offensive gameplan to skew 6.4% more towards the passing game than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
The model projects the Dallas Cowboys to run the 7th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have called the 7th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.8 plays per game.
Dak Prescott has passed for a lot more adjusted yards per game (276.0) this year than he did last year (241.0).
Dak Prescott’s 70.6% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies an impressive boost in his throwing precision over last year’s 65.4% mark.

Cons

With a 11.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are overwhelmingly favored in this week’s game, indicating much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 55.0% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Panthers, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.9 per game) this year.
Opposing teams have passed for the 3rd-fewest yards in football (just 185.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
264
Passing Yards