NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Jordan AddisonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Vikings vs. Saints
Right now, Jordan Addison’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-121/-108).
The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (-121) after it opened @ 49.5 (-113).
Pros
- The Minnesota Vikings may rely on the pass game less in this game (and call more rushes) given that they be forced to use backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs.
- The leading projections forecast the Vikings to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
- The predictive model expects this game to have the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.
- The predictive model expects Jordan Addison to total 9.8 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 96th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Cons
- Jordan Addison grades out as one of the bottom wideouts in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 1st percentile.
- The New Orleans Saints pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59.6%) versus wideouts this year (59.6%).
- The Saints pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. wideouts this year, surrendering 7.15 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in the league.
- When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, New Orleans’s CB corps has been terrific this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
74
Receiving Yards
74
Receiving Yards
