Week 10 Player Props: Passing Yards for Aidan O'Connell from EV Insight

Aidan O’ConnellPassing Yards

Right now, Aidan O’Connell’s passing yards prop is set at 205.5 yards (+110/-140).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 205.5 (-140) after it opened @ 207.5 (-115).

Pros

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Raiders profiles as the best in the NFL this year.

Cons

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 56.0% of their plays: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Raiders are predicted by the projection model to run only 62.0 total plays in this game: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.
The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 53.2 plays per game.
Opposing offenses teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the New York Jets, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 33.5 per game) this year.
This year, the daunting New York Jets defense has conceded a paltry 183.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing QBs: the 2nd-best in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
214
Passing Yards