Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Bijan RobinsonRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Cardinals vs. Falcons
Right now, Bijan Robinson’s rushing yards prop is set at 58.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 58.5 (-110) after it opened @ 56.5 (-114).
Pros
- Our trusted projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 4th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 46.1% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
- Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Falcons are projected by the predictive model to call 66.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-most on the slate this week.
- The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Atlanta Falcons this year (a whopping 62.0 per game on average).
- Bijan Robinson has grinded out 50.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest marks in football when it comes to RBs (80th percentile).
- This year, the shaky Cardinals run defense has been gouged for a massive 134.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 5th-worst in the league.
Cons
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
59
Rushing Yards
59
Rushing Yards
