Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Zay FlowersReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Ravens vs. Browns
Right now, Zay Flowers’s receiving yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Ravens boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 3.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
- Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 130.4 total plays called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
- With a high 91.5% Route% (88th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers rates as one of the wideouts with the highest volume in football.
- In this week’s contest, Zay Flowers is projected by the predictive model to slot into the 79th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.0 targets.
- With an outstanding 53.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (75th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers stands among the top WRs in the NFL in the league.
Cons
- This game’s line indicates a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 6 points.
- Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 50.1% of their downs: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 27.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: fewest in football.
- This year, the daunting Browns defense has given up a measly 114.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing WRs: the 2nd-best in the NFL.
- This year, the daunting Cleveland Browns defense has given up a meager 51.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the lowest rate in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
49
Receiving Yards
49
Receiving Yards
