Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for DeAndre Hopkins from EV Insight

DeAndre HopkinsReceiving Yards

Right now, DeAndre Hopkins’s receiving yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-127/-108).

The public has bet the OVER up to 65.5 (-127) after it opened @ 62.5 (-115).

Pros

The Titans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 1.9% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year.
In this week’s contest, DeAndre Hopkins is anticipated by the model to slot into the 90th percentile among wideouts with 8.3 targets.
DeAndre Hopkins has accumulated a monstrous 114.0 air yards per game this year: 97th percentile when it comes to WRs.
DeAndre Hopkins’s 70.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) ranks among the best in football: 95th percentile for WRs.

Cons

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 53.4% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The model projects the Titans to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Titans have called the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 54.5 plays per game.
The Tennessee offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
DeAndre Hopkins has totaled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (67.0) this year than he did last year (82.0).

Projection

THE BLITZ
61
Receiving Yards