Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Luke Musgrave from EV Insight

Luke MusgraveReceiving Yards

Right now, Luke Musgrave’s receiving yards prop is set at 24.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

This week’s line suggests a passing game script for the Packers, who are -3-point underdogs.
In this week’s game, Luke Musgrave is expected by the predictive model to rank in the 83rd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.1 targets.
With a high 14.1% Target Share (79th percentile) this year, Luke Musgrave places among the tight ends with the highest volume in the NFL.
In regards to air yards, Luke Musgrave ranks in the lofty 80th percentile among tight ends this year, averaging a colossal 28.0 per game.
With a fantastic 31.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (77th percentile) this year, Luke Musgrave stands among the best pass-catching TEs in football.

Cons

Our trusted projections expect the Packers to be the 9th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 28.46 seconds per snap.
The Steelers defense has given up the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 40.0) versus tight ends this year.
When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Pittsburgh’s unit has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
31
Receiving Yards