Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Romeo DoubsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Steelers vs. Packers
Right now, Romeo Doubs’s receiving yards prop is set at 33.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 33.5 (-110) after it opened @ 34.5 (-114).
Pros
- This week’s line suggests a passing game script for the Packers, who are -3-point underdogs.
- The predictive model expects Romeo Doubs to total 6.8 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
- Romeo Doubs’s 20.6% Target% this season indicates a substantial growth in his passing game volume over last season’s 15.6% figure.
- After accruing 48.0 air yards per game last season, Romeo Doubs has seen a big uptick this season, currently sitting at 77.0 per game.
- This year, the feeble Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been torched for a monstrous 188.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the 5th-worst in the NFL.
Cons
- Our trusted projections expect the Packers to be the 9th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 28.46 seconds per snap.
- Romeo Doubs’s 60.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a significant reduction in his receiving ability over last year’s 66.2% figure.
- With a poor 6.8 adjusted yards per target (23rd percentile) this year, Romeo Doubs places among the weakest wide receivers in the NFL in the league.
- This year, the stout Pittsburgh Steelers defense has yielded a meager 61.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 7th-best rate in football.
- When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Pittsburgh’s unit has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
45
Receiving Yards
45
Receiving Yards
