Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Trey McBride from EV Insight

Trey McBrideReceiving Yards

Right now, Trey McBride’s receiving yards prop is set at 29.5 yards (-120/-109).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 29.5 (-109) after it opened @ 31.5 (-110).

Pros

The Cardinals may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Joshua Dobbs.
At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are giant underdogs this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on throwing than their standard game plan.
The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals as the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (40.4 per game) this year.
Trey McBride’s pass-game efficiency has gotten a boost this year, accumulating 8.13 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 6.61 figure last year.

Cons

The Arizona Cardinals feature a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 6.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
As it relates to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Cardinals profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.
This year, the stout Baltimore Ravens defense has given up the least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing tight ends: a feeble 4.7 yards.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has been quite strong when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, giving up an average of 2.75 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the league.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 2nd-best group of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
41
Receiving Yards