NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Cooper KuppReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Rams vs. Steelers
Right now, Cooper Kupp’s receiving yards prop is set at 89.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 89.5 (-110) after it opened @ 90.5 (-110).
Pros
- Our trusted projections expect the Rams as the 5th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- As far as a defense’s effect on tempo, the Los Angeles Rams defense has allowed opposing teams to play 10th-quickest in the league (context-neutralized) this year at 27.01 seconds per snap.
- Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower run volume.
- The predictive model expects Cooper Kupp to notch 12.3 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile when it comes to WRs.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been gouged for the 5th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (192.0) to wide receivers this year.
Cons
- This week’s line indicates a running game script for the Rams, who are favored by 3 points.
- When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Rams grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year.
- Cooper Kupp’s possession skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 76.4% to 65.5%.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has given up the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62.8%) versus WRs this year (62.8%).
Projection
THE BLITZ
107
Receiving Yards
107
Receiving Yards
